Nobi-Nobita
0x24fe0b16c9833c78cb50d56036a7e8b195f73419
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $96.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,146
- Open portfolio
- $885.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,146
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.925 | $636.33 | +$99.60 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.875 | $182.98 | +$0.96 |
| Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.235 | $27.76 | −$7.74 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.405 | 0.355 | $21.73 | −$3.06 |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.255 | 0.290 | $7.74 | +$0.93 |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2? · Yes | 0.235 | 0.038 | $5.05 | −$26.26 |
| Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? · Yes | 0.106 | 0.105 | $1.44 | −$0.02 |
| Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.026 | $1.38 | −$33.60 |
| Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.235 | $0.96 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$444.46at 0.508Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 7?
- +$315.38at 0.081Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on February 21?
- +$225.08at 0.284Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 4?
- +$218.23at 0.253Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 20?
- +$154.14at 0.384Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 72°F or higher on March 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 09:02 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? | BUY | 0.8747881356 | $26.84 |
| 08-02 09:02 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? | BUY | 0.87 | $79.16 |
| 08-01 21:16 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $10.25 |
| 08-01 21:16 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.44 |
| 07-31 23:58 | Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $7.54 |
| 07-31 13:25 | Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.79 | $57.76 |
| 07-30 16:08 | Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.79 | $8.07 |
| 07-30 11:15 | Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.79 | $6.01 |
| 07-29 08:15 | Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.26 | $11.70 |
| 07-28 04:42 | Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | BUY | 0.66 | $0.52 |
| 07-28 04:40 | Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | BUY | 0.66 | $17.23 |
| 07-28 04:40 | Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | BUY | 0.66 | $17.23 |
| 07-27 23:51 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? | BUY | 0.84 | $6.67 |
| 07-27 13:03 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? | BUY | 0.84 | $11.94 |
| 07-27 07:19 | Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.78 | $7.79 |