StraddleSeller
0x52071e89ed7f68478a428fd65aed5dc572be686b
- Realised P&L
- $57.6k
- Volume
- $1.21M
- Markets traded
- 443
- Open portfolio
- $37.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded443
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.3kat 0.344Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?
- +$6.9kat 0.143Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?
- +$6.3kat 0.085Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
- +$4.0kat 0.079Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$3.3kat 0.096Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 21:12 | Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? | BUY | 0.68 | $285.35 |
| 09-17 21:11 | Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? | BUY | 0.33 | $24.65 |
| 09-17 20:31 | Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | BUY | 0.6176342801 | $50.66 |
| 09-17 20:30 | Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | SELL | 0.0450844215 | $9.43 |
| 09-17 20:13 | Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | SELL | 0.4105681818 | $72.26 |
| 09-17 19:58 | Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | SELL | 0.0789757352 | $154.21 |
| 09-17 19:55 | Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | SELL | 0.4412380952 | $92.66 |
| 09-17 09:49 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.219 | $219.00 |
| 09-15 21:12 | Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? | BUY | 0.1907404568 | $69.65 |
| 09-15 10:23 | Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? | SELL | 0.56 | $63.66 |
| 09-15 10:21 | Will Linke be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? | SELL | 0.0142748809 | $3.12 |
| 09-15 02:06 | Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes? | SELL | 0.5407119985 | $1.1k |
| 09-14 22:57 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.1824656714 | $135.67 |
| 09-14 12:31 | Will PQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.0195 | $1.95 |
| 09-14 12:30 | Will PLQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.592261 | $177.68 |