PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

StraddleSeller

0x52071e89ed7f68478a428fd65aed5dc572be686b

Realised P&L
$29.1k
Volume
$833.4k
Markets traded
354
Open portfolio
$37.5k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded354
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · No0.9420.983$6.9k+$290.25
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? · Yes0.7780.925$6.7k+$1.1k
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? · No0.8080.911$5.0k+$564.52
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-11 House seat? · Yes0.9500.975$3.9k+$94.95
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · No0.7940.932$3.5k+$517.94
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? · Yes0.8590.875$2.2k+$40.10
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4270.290$1.7k$808.33
Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? · No0.6780.868$1.0k+$222.33
US military draft authorized in 2026? · No0.8180.953$953.47+$134.29
Will John Coupar win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? · No0.9440.980$589.07+$21.07
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.4810.535$585.76+$59.07
Will the Republican Party win the CA-11 House seat? · No0.9560.970$520.69+$7.06
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026? · No0.8880.962$510.54+$38.79
Will Count Binface win the 2026 Clacton by-election by any margin? · No0.9100.965$485.98+$27.46
Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat? · Yes0.6470.715$428.66+$40.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 21:16Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.3999202941$271.95
07-31 10:00Will Colleen Hardwick win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?BUY0.0488251413$11.49
07-31 06:15Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 9?BUY0.0496013198$1.80
07-30 22:24Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?SELL0.99$3.6k
07-30 09:18Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?SELL0.18$30.82
07-30 09:16Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?SELL0.1959739858$158.20
07-29 09:03Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?BUY0.06$0.30
07-28 18:18Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?SELL0.48$84.90
07-28 09:34Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?SELL0.49$3.87
07-28 07:43Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?BUY0.266$6.65
07-28 07:37Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?BUY0.0478662948$5.49
07-28 07:37Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?SELL0.95$62.42
07-28 05:45Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?SELL0.48$23.48
07-28 05:45Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?SELL0.5$197.29
07-28 04:47Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?BUY0.552877616$486.09