StraddleSeller
0x52071e89ed7f68478a428fd65aed5dc572be686b
- Realised P&L
- $29.1k
- Volume
- $833.4k
- Markets traded
- 354
- Open portfolio
- $37.5k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded354
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.0kat 0.078Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$1.6kat 0.247Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?
- +$1.3kat 0.710Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
- +$1.2kat 0.910Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
- +$1.1kat 0.432Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 21:16 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3999202941 | $271.95 |
| 07-31 10:00 | Will Colleen Hardwick win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | BUY | 0.0488251413 | $11.49 |
| 07-31 06:15 | Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 9? | BUY | 0.0496013198 | $1.80 |
| 07-30 22:24 | Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06? | SELL | 0.99 | $3.6k |
| 07-30 09:18 | Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.18 | $30.82 |
| 07-30 09:16 | Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.1959739858 | $158.20 |
| 07-29 09:03 | Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.30 |
| 07-28 18:18 | Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | SELL | 0.48 | $84.90 |
| 07-28 09:34 | Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | SELL | 0.49 | $3.87 |
| 07-28 07:43 | Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | BUY | 0.266 | $6.65 |
| 07-28 07:37 | Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | BUY | 0.0478662948 | $5.49 |
| 07-28 07:37 | Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | SELL | 0.95 | $62.42 |
| 07-28 05:45 | Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | SELL | 0.48 | $23.48 |
| 07-28 05:45 | Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | SELL | 0.5 | $197.29 |
| 07-28 04:47 | Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | BUY | 0.552877616 | $486.09 |