PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

StraddleSeller

0x52071e89ed7f68478a428fd65aed5dc572be686b

Realised P&L
$57.6k
Volume
$1.21M
Markets traded
443
Open portfolio
$37.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded443
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration69.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? · No0.8080.930$5.1k+$671.92
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5140.575$4.0k+$425.00
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-11 House seat? · Yes0.9500.984$3.9k+$130.52
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.1250.238$2.8k+$1.3k
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4040.635$2.6k+$946.53
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · No0.7500.971$2.1k+$481.94
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · Yes0.8100.835$1.7k+$50.00
Will the Republican Party win the GA-10 House seat? · Yes0.8960.980$1.6k+$135.66
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? · Yes0.3920.340$1.5k$233.31
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-10 House seat? · No0.9000.984$1.1k+$95.99
No one announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.2020.234$974.45+$129.55
US military draft authorized in 2026? · No0.8180.968$945.23+$145.72
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · Yes0.2390.165$865.51$389.08
Will Linke be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? · No0.8400.987$789.61+$117.73
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? · Yes0.8620.957$787.45+$78.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 21:12Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?BUY0.68$285.35
09-17 21:11Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?BUY0.33$24.65
09-17 20:31Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?BUY0.6176342801$50.66
09-17 20:30Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?SELL0.0450844215$9.43
09-17 20:13Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?SELL0.4105681818$72.26
09-17 19:58Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?SELL0.0789757352$154.21
09-17 19:55Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?SELL0.4412380952$92.66
09-17 09:49No one announced as next James Bond?BUY0.219$219.00
09-15 21:12Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?BUY0.1907404568$69.65
09-15 10:23Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?SELL0.56$63.66
09-15 10:21Will Linke be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?SELL0.0142748809$3.12
09-15 02:06Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes?SELL0.5407119985$1.1k
09-14 22:57No one announced as next James Bond?BUY0.1824656714$135.67
09-14 12:31Will PQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?BUY0.0195$1.95
09-14 12:30Will PLQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?BUY0.592261$177.68