Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?

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Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-08-09
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.33. down 0.19 over the period, from 0.52. Range 0.09 to 0.52. 149 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.33	50	50
0.34	514	564
0.35	102	666
0.42	18	683
0.45	6	689
0.48	10	699
0.52	20	719
0.76	423	1,142
0.77	13	1,155
0.79	93	1,248
0.80	1,440	2,687
0.81	268	2,955

Spread0.01Mid0.33

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.32	423	423
0.31	310	733
0.30	65	798
0.29	110	908
0.26	87	996
0.23	120	1,116
0.22	1,747	2,863
0.21	253	3,116
0.20	977	4,093
0.19	1,870	5,963
0.17	30	5,993
0.07	61	6,054

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.68	423	423
0.69	310	733
0.70	65	798
0.71	110	908
0.74	87	996
0.77	120	1,116
0.78	1,747	2,863
0.79	253	3,116
0.80	977	4,093
0.81	1,870	5,963
0.83	30	5,993
0.93	61	6,054

Spread0.01Mid0.68

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.67	50	50
0.66	514	564
0.65	102	666
0.58	18	683
0.55	6	689
0.52	10	699
0.48	20	719
0.24	423	1,142
0.23	13	1,155
0.21	93	1,248
0.20	1,440	2,687
0.19	268	2,955

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
bonalddrunk	Yes	1,589.48
dada0726	Yes	799.36
shiifoo	Yes	145
mamofaker2	Yes	73.54
sunnynotbunny	Yes	66.67
browndust	Yes	50
LornaPredicts	Yes	42.77
gonnakilmyslf	Yes	30
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	26.33
ASFYQ78	Yes	23.34
guo-rich	Yes	20
balthazar	Yes	15.51
0x6f19…a6a6	Yes	11.63
0xE43235629C5F4581D039CEc28014dC74631b934A-1767367002794	Yes	11
vasiksim	Yes	10
beatrix99	Yes	7.4
0x3413…f858	Yes	6.06
0x3561…bf16	Yes	6.06
0x374a…7549	Yes	6.06
0x710f…6c48	Yes	6.06

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
01:07:37	BUY	Yes	0.33	10	$3.30
00:58:35	SELL	No	0.67	0	$0.01
00:58:24	BUY	Yes	0.3299998927	6	$2.00
00:56:59	BUY	Yes	0.3299998927	6	$2.00
00:51:29	BUY	No	0.68	3	$2.00
00:48:14	BUY	No	0.68	3	$2.00
00:45:38	BUY	Yes	0.3299998927	6	$2.00
00:39:56	BUY	No	0.68	3	$2.00
00:36:26	BUY	Yes	0.3299998927	6	$2.00
00:33:03	BUY	Yes	0.3299998927	6	$2.00
00:29:47	BUY	No	0.6799999728	7	$5.00
00:26:21	BUY	Yes	0.3299998927	6	$2.00
00:09:20	BUY	Yes	0.3299998927	6	$2.00
00:09:17	BUY	Yes	0.3299998927	6	$2.00
00:08:00	BUY	No	0.68	3	$2.00
00:07:09	BUY	Yes	0.3299998927	6	$2.00
23:44:17	BUY	Yes	0.3299998927	6	$2.00
23:38:24	BUY	No	0.68	3	$2.00
23:36:09	BUY	Yes	0.3299998927	6	$2.00
23:29:02	BUY	Yes	0.3299998927	6	$2.00
23:25:38	BUY	No	0.68	3	$2.00
23:17:26	BUY	No	0.68	3	$2.00
23:11:33	BUY	No	0.6799999728	7	$5.00
22:46:06	SELL	Yes	0.32	3	$0.94
22:45:57	BUY	No	0.68	3	$2.00