0x710f223f135ec7c265c68447daff2e17d9a76c48
- Realised P&L
- $0.43
- Volume
- $128.30
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $11.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.460 | $2.79 | +$0.79 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · No | 0.790 | 1.000 | $2.53 | +$0.53 |
| Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? · No | 0.460 | 0.530 | $2.30 | +$0.30 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.895 | $2.29 | +$0.29 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July? · Yes | 0.548 | 0.499 | $1.82 | −$0.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.44at 0.450Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?
- +$2.17at 0.340Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?
- +$1.99at 0.350Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during Michigan remarks?
- +$1.68at 0.530Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?
- +$1.53at 0.490Will Trump say "Nobody Like Him" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 00:45 | Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9? | BUY | 0.3299998927 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 16:44 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.7799996958 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 08:43 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July? | BUY | 0.5479998816 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 00:42 | Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? | BUY | 0.459999885 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 04:39 | Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.6099999786 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 08:35 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.2199999164 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 00:24 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 16:23 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999212 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 06:56 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 22:48 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 14:34 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 05:16 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5019999689 | $2.00 |
| 07-30 06:17 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999776 | $1.89 |
| 07-29 12:53 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July? | BUY | 0.3399998664 | $1.12 |
| 07-29 01:28 | Will Warsh say "Independence" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.43 | $1.29 |