PolyBot

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Traders

0x710f223f135ec7c265c68447daff2e17d9a76c48

Realised P&L
$0.43
Volume
$128.30
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$11.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9? · Yes0.3300.460$2.79+$0.79
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · No0.7901.000$2.53+$0.53
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? · No0.4600.530$2.30+$0.30
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.7800.895$2.29+$0.29
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July? · Yes0.5480.499$1.82$0.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 00:45Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?BUY0.3299998927$2.00
08-06 16:44US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.7799996958$2.00
08-06 08:43Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?BUY0.5479998816$2.00
08-06 00:42Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?BUY0.459999885$2.00
08-05 04:39Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.6099999786$2.00
08-03 08:35S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 3?BUY0.2199999164$2.00
08-03 00:24US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.7899999289$2.00
08-02 16:23Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.4499999212$2.00
08-02 06:56Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.6699999196$2.00
08-01 22:48Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.68$2.00
08-01 14:34Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?BUY0.8$2.00
08-01 05:16Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.5019999689$2.00
07-30 06:17Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?BUY0.5299999776$1.89
07-29 12:53Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?BUY0.3399998664$1.12
07-29 01:28Will Warsh say "Independence" during July Press Conference?BUY0.43$1.29
Trader 0x710f…6c48 · PolyBot