0x710f223f135ec7c265c68447daff2e17d9a76c48
0x710f223f135ec7c265c68447daff2e17d9a76c48
- Realised P&L
- $17.70
- Volume
- $369.00
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $12.54
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.60at 0.310Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?
- +$4.22at 0.320US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$4.18at 0.331Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?
- +$4.06at 0.330Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?
- +$3.51at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 12:29 | Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in August? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 04:29 | Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in August? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 04:28 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $690 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 18:54 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 09:39 | Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026 | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 01:39 | Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 14:56 | Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in September? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 06:08 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 21:40 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 13:40 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 05:40 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 21:39 | Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in August? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 13:29 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 05:29 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 20:15 | Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be less than 0.0%? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |