0x374a1ce9f4066cf917280c3dbfc76889c6627549
0x374a1ce9f4066cf917280c3dbfc76889c6627549
- Realised P&L
- $27.27
- Volume
- $480.01
- Markets traded
- 111
- Open portfolio
- $23.19
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded111
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Board of Trade" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? · Yes | 0.240 | 1.000 | $8.33 | +$6.33 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in September? · No | 0.590 | 0.875 | $2.97 | +$0.97 |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.850 | $2.21 | +$0.21 |
| Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%? · No | 0.440 | 0.465 | $2.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? · No | 0.790 | 0.810 | $2.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.215 | $1.79 | −$0.21 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.650 | 0.425 | $1.31 | −$0.69 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.150 | $1.25 | −$0.75 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.380 | $1.17 | −$0.83 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.52at 0.210Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13?
- +$7.44at 0.218Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$7.44at 0.218Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?
- +$5.62at 0.270Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
- +$5.33at 0.280Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 07:22 | Will Trump say "Board of Trade" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 07:22 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 23:22 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in September? | BUY | 0.5899999145 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 15:21 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 15:21 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 07:21 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 23:07 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 14:41 | Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%? | BUY | 0.439999956 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 06:39 | Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.419999979 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 21:42 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.419999979 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 11:36 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999328 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 00:18 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.699999965 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 10:32 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 02:32 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 17:50 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $2.00 |