Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2028-11-07

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.002. up 0.001 over the period, from 0.001. Range 0.001 to 0.002. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.002	485,648	485,648
0.003	107	485,755
0.004	100	485,855
0.005	76	485,930
0.007	7,143	493,073
0.008	20,988	514,061
0.009	2,820	516,881
0.010	466,154	983,035
0.011	44,565	1,027,599
0.012	1,020	1,028,619
0.013	13,303	1,041,922
0.014	4,514	1,046,436

Spread0.001Mid0.002

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.001	93	93

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.999	93	93

Spread0.001Mid0.998

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.998	485,648	485,648
0.997	107	485,755
0.996	100	485,855
0.995	76	485,930
0.993	7,143	493,073
0.992	20,988	514,061
0.991	2,820	516,881
0.990	466,154	983,035
0.989	44,565	1,027,599
0.988	1,020	1,028,619
0.987	13,303	1,041,922
0.986	4,514	1,046,436

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
alohajp	Yes	997,805.12
pizzabillgates	Yes	627,614.01
risk-manager	Yes	482,383.33
Brokie	Yes	304,000
0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794	Yes	12,201.14
Haradwaith	Yes	10,768.08
Wojtek	Yes	10,192.03
0xAe8739813B024631B3769E8788464795EE70d629-1776456987493	Yes	10,100
goodluck81	Yes	10,000
Donkov	Yes	9,097.22
HerrieDavis	Yes	8,899.81
sirigy23	Yes	8,000
f2kus	Yes	7,777
pregamee	Yes	7,142.86
0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A	Yes	3,000
Elina-com	Yes	3,000
FreeCityIndividual	Yes	2,888.79
simplystupid188	Yes	2,563.08
0x35CfEAE71221a7740F9e543F77c30cCeFc87fa48-1769405083184	Yes	2,500
0x4e25…d7a7	Yes	2,170

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
19:32:48	SELL	No	0.998	2	$2.35
19:26:27	BUY	No	0.999	2	$2.43
16:59:57	SELL	No	0.998	0	$0.17
16:09:16	SELL	No	0.998	0	$0.14
16:00:45	SELL	No	0.998	2	$1.96
15:55:31	BUY	No	0.999	2	$2.23
15:01:04	BUY	Yes	0.002	2,500	$5.00
12:52:49	SELL	No	0.998	1	$0.50
12:35:37	SELL	No	0.998	0	$0.13
12:35:19	SELL	No	0.998	2	$1.86
12:26:43	BUY	No	0.999	2	$2.48
09:39:52	SELL	No	0.998	116	$115.70
08:27:04	BUY	No	0.999	116	$115.82
06:23:03	SELL	No	0.998	31	$31.07
05:59:09	SELL	No	0.998	1	$0.76
05:23:46	SELL	No	0.998	0	$0.29
05:14:45	BUY	No	0.998999098	1	$1.05
03:25:42	BUY	No	0.9989999721	31	$31.10
02:13:37	SELL	No	0.998	0	$0.09
01:50:28	SELL	No	0.998	2	$1.70
01:45:57	SELL	No	0.998	1	$0.82
01:43:21	BUY	No	0.9989998649	2	$1.76
00:39:04	SELL	No	0.998	0	$0.20
00:33:54	BUY	No	0.9989990798	1	$1.04
21:58:21	SELL	No	0.998	0	$0.22