0x4ced60fbdd73bc6989fe6173cc31bc9cd8ce98bd
- Realised P&L
- $-50.74
- Volume
- $91.8k
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $195.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.005 | $195.80 | −$24.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-36.84at 0.003Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:11 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0058725428 | $46.00 |
| 09-15 18:10 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.002 | $52.67 |
| 09-15 09:24 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.003 | $21.00 |
| 09-15 09:23 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.006 | $20.00 |
| 09-15 09:22 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.006 | $30.00 |
| 09-15 09:21 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.003 | $20.00 |
| 09-15 09:16 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.006 | $22.00 |
| 09-15 09:10 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.006 | $34.00 |
| 09-15 09:07 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.003 | $38.00 |
| 09-15 09:05 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.005 | $68.30 |