PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

goodluck81

0x46ee2dcff4543e808d5ef1030348bec4ea84eb1e

Realised P&L
$-3.0k
Volume
$1.48M
Markets traded
429
Open portfolio
$2.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded429
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 01:43Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?SELL0.018709$18.71
07-28 06:05Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?SELL0.0338362818$33.83
07-28 06:04Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?BUY0.0056224293$16.31
07-24 20:48Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?BUY0.0237031784$5.48
07-24 20:48Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?SELL0.0273615$5.47
07-23 22:55Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?BUY0.02876325$5.75
07-23 22:53Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?SELL0.0325245867$3.07
07-22 12:11U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?BUY0.1988628649$5.86
07-19 22:34Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?BUY0.0363051152$3.44
07-16 03:46Spread: France (-1.5)BUY0.28$501.48
07-15 23:32Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?BUY0.035$2.27
07-15 23:31Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?BUY0.0301504497$1.11
07-15 23:08Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?BUY0.021$0.48
07-15 22:51Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.12$44.98
07-15 22:25Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.41$19.99