goodluck81
0x46ee2dcff4543e808d5ef1030348bec4ea84eb1e
- Realised P&L
- $-3.6k
- Volume
- $1.52M
- Markets traded
- 437
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded437
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$846.13at 0.174US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
- +$720.01at 0.140US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$645.23at 0.079Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
- +$465.04at 0.012Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$441.17at 0.116Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 01:25 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | BUY | 0.0052642913 | $0.54 |
| 08-18 01:24 | Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.009 | $8.75 |
| 08-16 00:01 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | BUY | 0.0085465739 | $4.05 |
| 08-11 22:12 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.04 |
| 08-06 21:05 | Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.71 |
| 08-05 01:07 | Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City? | BUY | 0.0124255197 | $5.84 |
| 08-05 01:04 | Will Vinicius Junior join Chelsea? | BUY | 0.002 | $11.96 |
| 08-05 00:59 | Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.37 |
| 08-05 00:56 | Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.40 |
| 08-05 00:54 | Will Vinicius Junior join Chelsea? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.08 |
| 08-05 00:54 | Will Vinicius Junior join Bayern Munich? | BUY | 0.002 | $3.39 |
| 08-03 11:55 | Nothing Ever Happens: August | BUY | 0.16 | $33.20 |
| 08-03 08:26 | Nothing Ever Happens: August | BUY | 0.15 | $132.08 |
| 08-03 01:43 | Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.018709 | $18.71 |
| 07-28 06:05 | Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.0338362818 | $33.83 |