goodluck81
0x46ee2dcff4543e808d5ef1030348bec4ea84eb1e
- Realised P&L
- $-3.0k
- Volume
- $1.48M
- Markets traded
- 429
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded429
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$846.13at 0.174US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
- +$719.98at 0.140US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$645.23at 0.079Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
- +$465.04at 0.012Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$441.17at 0.116Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 01:43 | Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.018709 | $18.71 |
| 07-28 06:05 | Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.0338362818 | $33.83 |
| 07-28 06:04 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | BUY | 0.0056224293 | $16.31 |
| 07-24 20:48 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | BUY | 0.0237031784 | $5.48 |
| 07-24 20:48 | Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.0273615 | $5.47 |
| 07-23 22:55 | Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.02876325 | $5.75 |
| 07-23 22:53 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | SELL | 0.0325245867 | $3.07 |
| 07-22 12:11 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? | BUY | 0.1988628649 | $5.86 |
| 07-19 22:34 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | BUY | 0.0363051152 | $3.44 |
| 07-16 03:46 | Spread: France (-1.5) | BUY | 0.28 | $501.48 |
| 07-15 23:32 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | BUY | 0.035 | $2.27 |
| 07-15 23:31 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | BUY | 0.0301504497 | $1.11 |
| 07-15 23:08 | Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting? | BUY | 0.021 | $0.48 |
| 07-15 22:51 | Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.12 | $44.98 |
| 07-15 22:25 | Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.41 | $19.99 |