Elina-com
0x9f62278c2eed0baef1ccaf71efd516151b05506a
- Realised P&L
- $-70.95
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $180.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No | 0.650 | 0.800 | $61.58 | +$11.58 |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? · No | 0.820 | 0.935 | $46.75 | +$5.75 |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? · No | 0.570 | 0.770 | $38.50 | +$10.00 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.850 | 0.965 | $19.30 | +$2.30 |
| Will US annex any territory in 2026? · No | 0.870 | 0.942 | $9.41 | +$0.71 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.002 | $4.50 | −$16.50 |
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.004 | $0.35 | −$0.85 |
| Will Trump meet with Maria Corina Machado in 2026? · No | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.60 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January? · No | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$79.00 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January? · No | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 8-14? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.75at 0.380Will Trump say "Trump Family" this week? (December 22 - 28)
- +$6.20at 0.600Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 15?
- +$5.52at 0.760Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
- +$4.35at 0.670Will Trump say "Dog" this week? (December 22 - 28)
- +$3.40at 0.830Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-05 08:55 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6499999902 | $50.00 |
| 01-21 16:51 | Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.55 |
| 01-08 08:27 | US x Russia military clash by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.976 | $9.76 |
| 01-08 08:26 | US x Russia military clash by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.977 | $19.54 |
| 01-05 09:06 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $21.00 |
| 01-05 09:01 | Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.012 | $1.20 |
| 01-04 08:52 | Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January? | BUY | 0.19 | $19.00 |
| 01-04 08:51 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January? | BUY | 0.79 | $79.00 |
| 01-04 08:50 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January? | BUY | 0.58 | $29.00 |
| 12-29 07:13 | Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by December 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $16.60 |
| 12-29 07:03 | Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $49.50 |
| 12-28 12:42 | Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31? | BUY | 0.853 | $8.53 |
| 12-24 14:33 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.953 | $38.12 |
| 12-24 14:29 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.76 | $17.48 |
| 12-24 07:50 | NATO x Russia military clash in 2025? | BUY | 0.995 | $29.85 |