PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xAe8739813B024631B3769E8788464795EE70d629-1776456987493

0xae8739813b024631b3769e8788464795ee70d629

Realised P&L
$-222.11
Volume
$54.1k
Markets traded
137
Open portfolio
$123.86

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded137
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration67.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 16:00Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?BUY0.739999997$29.26
09-14 16:00Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?SELL0.3256466028$30.24
09-14 15:58Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?BUY0.3899999995$36.22
09-14 15:58Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?SELL0.991$35.06
09-14 15:51Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.02$2.00
09-14 15:50Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.172$17.20
09-14 15:47Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.001$8.00
09-14 15:47Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.001$1.00
09-14 15:46Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.001$1.00
09-14 15:45Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 82-84%?BUY0.93483693$50.00
09-14 15:44Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.16$16.00
09-14 15:44Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Over/Under 7%?SELL0.999$99.16
09-13 21:11Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Over/Under 7%?BUY0.98$1.00
09-13 21:10Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by 10-13%?SELL0.019937$1.00
09-13 18:53Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?BUY0.7299999927$25.83