0xAe8739813B024631B3769E8788464795EE70d629-1776456987493
0xae8739813b024631b3769e8788464795ee70d629
- Realised P&L
- $-222.11
- Volume
- $54.1k
- Markets traded
- 137
- Open portfolio
- $123.86
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded137
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$397.06at 0.461 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$41.20at 0.584Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Over/Under 7%?
- +$27.45at 0.060Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$25.42at 0.447Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$25.23at 0.668Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 16:00 | Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.739999997 | $29.26 |
| 09-14 16:00 | Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? | SELL | 0.3256466028 | $30.24 |
| 09-14 15:58 | Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.3899999995 | $36.22 |
| 09-14 15:58 | Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes? | SELL | 0.991 | $35.06 |
| 09-14 15:51 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 15:50 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.172 | $17.20 |
| 09-14 15:47 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $8.00 |
| 09-14 15:47 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 15:46 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 15:45 | Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 82-84%? | BUY | 0.93483693 | $50.00 |
| 09-14 15:44 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.16 | $16.00 |
| 09-14 15:44 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Over/Under 7%? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.16 |
| 09-13 21:11 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Over/Under 7%? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 21:10 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by 10-13%? | SELL | 0.019937 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 18:53 | Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.7299999927 | $25.83 |