0x2e882050971407b433457b1be6e0dd307e9b24d1
0x2e882050971407b433457b1be6e0dd307e9b24d1
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $204.0k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $343.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.005 | $144.83 | +$65.85 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.007 | $97.50 | −$6.50 |
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.003 | $60.00 | +$12.02 |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.002 | $41.36 | −$52.60 |
| Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance · United States | 0.548 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$148.00 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27? · Yes | 0.055 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$75.00 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$328.00 |
| World Cup: Ronaldo to Score 2+ Penalties? · Yes | 0.265 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| World Cup: Ronaldo to Score a Free Kick? · Yes | 0.148 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$217.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$82.35at 0.611Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
- +$20.66at 0.631Will France win on 2026-06-26?
- +$-16.67at 0.538Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
- +$-27.99at 0.094World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?
- +$-41.90at 0.541Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 11:46 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $104.00 |
| 10-23 19:47 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.003 | $41.00 |
| 10-21 17:00 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0029809181 | $30.00 |
| 10-21 16:53 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $30.50 |
| 10-10 20:52 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.003 | $28.00 |
| 10-10 20:51 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.002 | $20.00 |
| 10-10 20:43 | Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.002 | $15.00 |
| 10-10 20:29 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.002 | $41.00 |
| 09-21 12:53 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0059825077 | $23.00 |
| 09-21 12:52 | Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.002 | $33.00 |
| 09-21 12:52 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.003 | $51.00 |
| 08-07 15:35 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.005 | $101.85 |
| 07-31 07:14 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.006 | $122.22 |
| 07-11 09:42 | World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken? | SELL | 0.0400386757 | $19.41 |
| 07-06 21:03 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.85 |