PolyBot

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Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by October 31, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-31
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.56. down 0.18 over the period, from 0.74. Range 0.17 to 0.90. 111 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.709292
0.8680172
0.8821193
0.9520213
0.9615227
0.9820247
0.9920267

Spread0.28Mid0.56

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.424747
0.413683
0.1193176
0.1026202
0.0512214
0.04137351
0.03229580
0.024621,042
0.011,1402,182

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.584747
0.593683
0.8993176
0.9026202
0.9512214
0.96137351
0.97229580
0.984621,042
0.991,1402,182

Spread0.28Mid0.44

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.309292
0.1480172
0.1221193
0.0520213
0.0415227
0.0220247
0.0120267

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
smellyEllieYes62
0x5F3ee9c40Be255D1C18cA38bf4Ab94b564C75337-1776862065527Yes41.01
pootytherewardfarmerYes34.78
llh1818Yes26.85
0xdb5b…f580Yes21
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.Yes20
SlackjawYes20
PlatykurticYes20
ghorrockYes17.05
yo2000Yes13.53
AJSVNo75.86
tradetosurvive1No60.25
shoobadooba18No36
UpTheStairsNo20
dsabaninNo20
ArmageddonRewardsBillyNo20
T22222222222No20
SanctionedBetsNo11
GuyFromTinderNo8.14
WartlockNo5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
00:45:52SELLNo0.320$6.00
00:35:01BUYYes0.5640$22.40
21:25:46BUYYes0.543869354862$33.72
21:12:41SELLYes0.4230$12.60
19:53:34SELLYes0.430$0.10
19:43:08SELLYes0.531$0.33
19:43:05BUYNo0.3720$7.40
19:43:05SELLYes0.6616435396208$137.80
19:43:05BUYNo0.352$0.70
19:43:05BUYNo0.3522$7.70
18:35:23BUYNo0.339999990226$9.00
15:31:52BUYYes0.6153405756194$119.52
14:00:04BUYYes0.620$12.00
13:54:53BUYYes0.563333333360$33.80
13:54:53BUYYes0.585$2.90
13:40:40BUYNo0.45999991764$2.01
13:40:40BUYNo0.422580$33.80
13:06:19BUYYes0.5391822182330$177.69
10:05:58SELLNo0.6520$13.00
09:18:49BUYNo0.5343$22.79
09:18:35BUYNo0.5221$10.92
09:13:10BUYYes0.5621$11.76
09:09:05BUYNo0.39196574320$125.62
09:09:05BUYNo0.4720$9.40
04:03:32SELLNo0.2920$5.80