Barkshire-Hathaway
0x66c1a6fe836ff555ca32848646acedbbe93bfa3f
- Realised P&L
- $129.1k
- Volume
- $3.15M
- Markets traded
- 3,618
- Open portfolio
- $109.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded3,618
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.0kat 0.002Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?
- +$8.9kat 0.406US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$8.5kat 0.605Will Trump visit China by April 30?
- +$4.1kat 0.224Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
- +$3.5kat 0.505US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:04 | Will Trump say "Maduro" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa? | BUY | 0.9734969325 | $158.68 |
| 11-01 23:00 | Will Trump say "Shit" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa? | BUY | 0.98 | $117.60 |
| 11-01 22:52 | Will Trump say "Crazy" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa? | BUY | 0.9630769231 | $125.20 |
| 11-01 22:50 | Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa? | BUY | 0.84625 | $135.40 |
| 11-01 22:49 | Will Trump say "Front Row Joe" in November? | BUY | 0.9888562278 | $86.46 |
| 11-01 22:30 | Will Trump say "Golden Age" in November? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 11-01 22:19 | Will Trump say "Alaska" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa? | BUY | 0.9760668568 | $160.89 |
| 11-01 22:05 | Will Trump say "Illinois" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa? | BUY | 0.9737883488 | $141.25 |
| 11-01 21:55 | Will Trump say "Crazy" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa? | BUY | 0.84 | $79.80 |
| 11-01 21:55 | Will Trump say "Crazy" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa? | BUY | 0.8243821209 | $28.22 |
| 11-01 21:41 | Will Trump say "Shit" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 21:38 | Will Trump say "Alaska" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa? | BUY | 0.82 | $45.55 |
| 11-01 21:37 | Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $170.00 |
| 11-01 21:14 | Will Trump say "Burger" in October? | BUY | 0.895 | $266.50 |
| 11-01 21:09 | Will Trump say "Burger" in October? | BUY | 0.8869615348 | $92.24 |