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Traders

Barkshire-Hathaway

0x66c1a6fe836ff555ca32848646acedbbe93bfa3f

Realised P&L
$129.1k
Volume
$3.15M
Markets traded
3,618
Open portfolio
$109.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
CautionMarkets traded3,618
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.997$49.9k+$24.9k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.817$16.3k+$6.3k
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.902$14.4k+$6.4k
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? · Yes0.4470.855$4.3k+$2.0k
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes0.3220.845$4.2k+$2.6k
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6620.735$3.7k+$366.17
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.183$3.7k−$6.3k
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? · Yes0.5420.845$3.4k+$1.2k
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.9300.945$2.4k+$37.48
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.098$1.6k−$6.4k
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? · Yes0.7120.900$898.94+$187.52
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · No0.3940.860$859.14+$465.79
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on November 4? · Yes0.0940.605$382.18+$322.51
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? · Yes0.1680.145$362.35−$57.71
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? · Yes0.2970.175$349.82−$244.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 23:04Will Trump say "Maduro" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?BUY0.9734969325$158.68
11-01 23:00Will Trump say "Shit" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?BUY0.98$117.60
11-01 22:52Will Trump say "Crazy" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?BUY0.9630769231$125.20
11-01 22:50Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?BUY0.84625$135.40
11-01 22:49Will Trump say "Front Row Joe" in November?BUY0.9888562278$86.46
11-01 22:30Will Trump say "Golden Age" in November?BUY0.999$49.95
11-01 22:19Will Trump say "Alaska" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?BUY0.9760668568$160.89
11-01 22:05Will Trump say "Illinois" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?BUY0.9737883488$141.25
11-01 21:55Will Trump say "Crazy" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?BUY0.84$79.80
11-01 21:55Will Trump say "Crazy" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?BUY0.8243821209$28.22
11-01 21:41Will Trump say "Shit" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?BUY0.5$5.00
11-01 21:38Will Trump say "Alaska" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?BUY0.82$45.55
11-01 21:37Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?BUY0.17$170.00
11-01 21:14Will Trump say "Burger" in October?BUY0.895$266.50
11-01 21:09Will Trump say "Burger" in October?BUY0.8869615348$92.24
Trader Barkshire-Hathaway · PolyBot Pro