PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Platykurtic

0x66c1a6fe836ff555ca32848646acedbbe93bfa3f

Realised P&L
$138.1k
Volume
$2.90M
Markets traded
3,182
Open portfolio
$110.1k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
CautionMarkets traded3,182
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.999$49.9k+$24.9k
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.894$17.9k+$7.9k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.779$15.6k+$5.6k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.221$4.4k$5.6k
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.920$3.7k+$1.7k
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes0.3220.555$2.8k+$1.2k
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? · Yes0.3890.655$2.6k+$1.1k
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5840.445$2.2k$694.80
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.105$2.1k$7.9k
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? · Yes0.2500.230$1.6k$137.71
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? · Yes0.3680.615$1.2k+$493.73
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · No0.3940.665$664.34+$270.99
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5870.635$634.37+$47.60
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026? · Yes0.9160.959$532.89+$23.97
Will Trump praise Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September? · Yes0.8320.870$443.93+$19.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 10:14Will Trump praise Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?BUY0.9$83.25
09-17 10:14Will Trump say "TikTok" or "ByteDance" in September?BUY0.9734571949$106.89
09-17 07:36Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026?BUY0.913$44.74
09-17 07:32Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 25, 2026?SELL0.92$16.16
09-17 02:42Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu in September?BUY0.43$12.90
09-17 02:01Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 17?BUY0.67$13.40
09-17 00:30Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.9726747833$210.91
09-17 00:20Will Trump say "Crazy" during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.978984726$108.96
09-17 00:18Will Trump say "Egg" during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.9794011469$104.18
09-17 00:09Will Trump say "Russia" during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.98$80.50
09-16 23:54Will Trump say "Cheat" or "Cheater" this week?BUY0.9882052049$33.04
09-16 23:54Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" 5+ times during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.9795976181$154.64
09-16 23:44Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 15+ times during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.6099999488$2.50
09-16 23:26Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 16, 2026?BUY0.974$487.00
09-16 23:11Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026?BUY0.932902439$76.50