PolyBot

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Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Rewards
20 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.07. Unchanged over the period, from 0.07. Range 0.07 to 0.07. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.071,2751,275
0.081,2902,565
0.091,3003,864
0.103,3207,184
0.11207,204
0.79727,276
0.804897,765
0.817508,515
0.832508,765
0.841,1139,879
0.8630810,187
0.871,37011,557

Spread0.01Mid0.07

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.061,5311,531
0.051,1072,638
0.047863,424
0.035,4508,874
0.024,79513,669

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.941,5311,531
0.951,1072,638
0.967863,424
0.975,4508,874
0.984,79513,669

Spread0.01Mid0.94

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.931,2751,275
0.921,2902,565
0.911,3003,864
0.903,3207,184
0.89207,204
0.21727,276
0.204897,765
0.197508,515
0.172508,765
0.161,1139,879
0.1430810,187
0.131,37011,557

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
protonboyYes150.01
DooBieZYes150
WordsmithYes96.43
OklmntraderYes92.44
Dr.PNLYes84.13
1BTCis1BTCYes57.14
thecaricatureYes50
dropmepleaseYes40
Numitus1994Yes21.29
LornaPredictsYes20
0xc6d7…4399Yes4.8
keyboYes3.8
rponticiNo360.02
0x7a28z1No200
0x14117f3428c9Fc84b57cF7961b5e9E5F6Dce2410-1773994627349No150
Laura53125No40
deepsleepNo19.98

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
08:29:52SELLNo0.9320$18.60
17:53:34BUYNo0.9410$9.39
17:53:34BUYNo0.9410$9.39
14:46:07SELLNo0.933$3.03
11:03:49BUYYes0.069999983957$4.00
11:51:45BUYYes0.0710$0.70
03:54:22SELLYes0.0620$1.20
16:23:13SELLNo0.932$2.02
12:18:16SELLYes0.0761$4.27
13:16:19SELLYes0.0750$3.50
10:58:44SELLYes0.0750$3.50
18:51:40SELLYes0.0750$3.50
12:40:59SELLYes0.07100$7.00
19:19:32SELLYes0.07100$7.00
11:39:58SELLYes0.07106$7.39
11:28:22SELLYes0.0795$6.63
22:41:17SELLYes0.0884$6.73
22:41:05BUYNo0.92400$368.00
13:54:40BUYNo0.92150$138.00
01:31:38BUYNo0.9240$36.80
12:39:53SELLNo0.911$0.98
19:28:17BUYNo0.921$1.00
05:07:43BUYNo0.9210$9.20
04:26:46BUYNo0.9210$9.20
04:29:04BUYNo0.921$1.00