rpontici
0x34af3a317ccc5fbed5ed504d13a064ffa7f4bd55
- Realised P&L
- $1.7k
- Volume
- $761.4k
- Markets traded
- 961
- Open portfolio
- $13.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded961
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$747.89at 0.995Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
- +$377.59at 0.965Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
- +$345.67at 0.871Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
- +$323.54at 0.916Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- +$290.16at 0.850Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 06:05 | Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $231.40 |
| 08-04 06:04 | Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $117.77 |
| 08-04 06:03 | Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $82.00 |
| 08-03 17:31 | Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $21.24 |
| 08-03 17:31 | Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8220458265 | $20.09 |
| 08-03 17:25 | Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 08-03 07:11 | Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $552.19 |
| 08-02 20:41 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.976 | $116.99 |
| 08-02 09:25 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $120B by August 31? | BUY | 0.93 | $102.30 |
| 08-01 23:58 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $184.18 |
| 08-01 23:22 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $34.88 |
| 08-01 20:55 | Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 08-01 13:00 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $900B by August 31? | BUY | 0.96 | $48.00 |
| 08-01 09:43 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1T by August 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $98.55 |
| 08-01 09:42 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by August 31? | BUY | 0.96 | $187.20 |