rpontici
0x34af3a317ccc5fbed5ed504d13a064ffa7f4bd55
- Realised P&L
- $2.5k
- Volume
- $844.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,061
- Open portfolio
- $16.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,061
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration44.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$747.89at 0.995Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
- +$377.59at 0.965Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
- +$345.67at 0.871Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
- +$339.91at 0.934Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- +$290.16at 0.850Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 15:42 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $145B by September 30? | BUY | 0.983 | $68.81 |
| 09-19 15:39 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $140B by September 30? | BUY | 0.975 | $77.27 |
| 09-19 15:30 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.875T by September 30? | BUY | 0.978 | $48.90 |
| 09-19 15:30 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.875T by September 30? | BUY | 0.977 | $29.31 |
| 09-19 07:41 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.625T by September 30? | BUY | 0.967 | $38.68 |
| 09-19 07:00 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.875T by September 30? | BUY | 0.986 | $10.89 |
| 09-19 06:59 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.625T by September 30? | BUY | 0.966 | $49.27 |
| 09-19 06:58 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.625T by September 30? | BUY | 0.965 | $28.95 |
| 09-19 06:58 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.625T by September 30? | BUY | 0.964 | $67.48 |
| 09-18 00:15 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.875T by September 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $7.92 |
| 09-17 19:42 | Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.24 |
| 09-17 19:40 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.125T by September 30? | BUY | 0.966 | $96.60 |
| 09-17 19:39 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.275T by September 30? | SELL | 0.997 | $49.85 |
| 09-17 19:37 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $825B by September 30? | BUY | 0.967 | $48.35 |
| 09-17 19:36 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $825B by September 30? | BUY | 0.966 | $48.30 |