Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.051. down 0.023 over the period, from 0.074. Range 0.047 to 0.138. 149 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.070	110	110
0.071	140	250
0.072	20	270
0.074	91	361
0.077	245	606
0.081	141	747
0.085	100	847
0.091	122	969
0.110	50	1,019
0.153	100	1,119
0.160	100	1,219
0.222	30	1,249

Spread0.039Mid0.051

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.031	20	20
0.030	20	40
0.028	15	55
0.027	83	138
0.023	120	258
0.022	7	265
0.021	142	407
0.019	84	491
0.012	5	496
0.011	25	520
0.010	122	642
0.006	21	663

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.969	20	20
0.970	20	40
0.972	15	55
0.973	83	138
0.977	120	258
0.978	7	265
0.979	142	407
0.981	84	491
0.988	5	496
0.989	25	520
0.990	122	642
0.994	21	663

Spread0.039Mid0.950

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.930	110	110
0.929	140	250
0.928	20	270
0.926	91	361
0.923	245	606
0.919	141	747
0.915	100	847
0.909	122	969
0.890	50	1,019
0.847	100	1,119
0.840	100	1,219
0.778	30	1,249

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
wavesinthesky	Yes	1,804.9
Numitus1994	Yes	141.49
tnl	Yes	105.01
doddo12	Yes	97
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	94.72
Fihdrzgdd	Yes	80
newbiePPOOLL	Yes	73.52
LornaPredicts	Yes	42.49
TheTokl	Yes	34.38
0x58e80Dd4a5c365BA380795103f5E0963a287bB5A-1781767424338	Yes	30
gfdgfvfvssdd	Yes	19.7
jensond	Yes	17.55
eqawr	Yes	17
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9	Yes	15.36
0x9a6ec62F9162d3B4202325a29b3F6Ab95E4a287D-1769308612603	Yes	10
tentrend	Yes	9.76
0x125c…7463	Yes	8.51
VOODOO669	Yes	8.2
0xace5…7083	Yes	5.69
Rr55	No	1,180.61

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
03:23:39	BUY	Yes	0.071	20	$1.43
22:47:21	BUY	No	0.9	20	$18.00
22:47:21	BUY	No	0.8821309774	147	$130.05
22:47:21	BUY	No	0.9	20	$18.06
22:47:21	BUY	No	0.8957387182	46	$41.20
23:57:34	SELL	Yes	0.102	2	$0.19
17:20:41	SELL	No	0.8813568521	37	$32.48
17:20:34	SELL	No	0.88	20	$17.60
17:20:13	BUY	Yes	0.1149999973	22	$2.52
17:20:13	SELL	No	0.8915928891	85	$75.73
21:48:14	SELL	No	0.917	20	$18.34
09:34:14	SELL	Yes	0.03	10	$0.31
10:30:23	BUY	Yes	0.092	15	$1.38
13:14:50	BUY	Yes	0.077	20	$1.54
09:53:32	SELL	Yes	0.089	20	$1.78
09:34:45	SELL	Yes	0.087	20	$1.74
09:34:44	BUY	No	0.884	180	$159.12
09:34:42	BUY	No	0.914	20	$18.28
09:34:42	BUY	No	0.914	20	$18.28
09:34:42	BUY	No	0.892	20	$17.84
02:31:03	BUY	Yes	0.112	35	$3.88
02:24:56	SELL	No	0.89	25	$21.93
16:31:53	SELL	Yes	0.138	20	$2.76
16:31:50	BUY	No	0.857	79	$67.28
16:31:50	BUY	No	0.859	20	$17.18