PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

tnl

0xb619ed5b378053f8309c307d2f7adf9c13665068

Realised P&L
$54.3k
Volume
$17.53M
Markets traded
1,189
Open portfolio
$280.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,189
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration46.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.2930.305$101.5k+$3.9k
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · No0.8690.875$26.3k+$172.99
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.3580.545$16.7k+$5.7k
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No0.9760.986$11.1k+$108.32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? · No0.7970.909$9.1k+$1.1k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? · No0.6690.825$8.3k+$1.6k
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · No0.9400.989$7.4k+$368.82
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6200.815$5.4k+$1.3k
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-17? · No0.6601.000$5.0k+$1.7k
Spread: FC Viktoria Plzeň (-1.5) · RU Saint-Gilloise0.8201.000$5.0k+$897.50
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-09-17? · No0.4001.000$5.0k+$3.0k
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-09-17? · Yes0.3501.000$5.0k+$3.2k
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? · Yes0.8000.825$5.0k+$150.94
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? · No0.9100.975$4.9k+$322.50
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.955$4.8k+$75.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 17:58Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.76$37.94
09-17 17:57Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.76$760.00
09-17 09:46Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)BUY0.32$244.80
09-17 09:38Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.71$953.58
09-17 08:45Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.35$172.46
09-17 08:42Spread: RU Saint-Gilloise (-1.5)BUY0.16$274.74
09-17 08:27Will Celtic FC win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.56$56.00
09-17 08:21Will Crystal Palace FC vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?BUY0.82$70.66
09-17 07:19Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.968$2.4k
09-17 07:19Will Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?BUY0.92$1.84
09-17 07:10Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?BUY0.76$76.00
09-17 07:07Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?BUY0.87$14.89
09-16 20:46Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.52$760.72
09-16 18:07Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.87$65.54
09-15 18:29Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15?SELL0.447065354$2.3k