tnl
0xb619ed5b378053f8309c307d2f7adf9c13665068
- Realised P&L
- $54.3k
- Volume
- $17.53M
- Markets traded
- 1,189
- Open portfolio
- $280.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,189
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration46.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.6kat 0.162Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$22.7kat 0.324Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
- +$22.1kat 0.527Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?
- +$18.3kat 0.268Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
- +$12.3kat 0.313First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 17:58 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.76 | $37.94 |
| 09-17 17:57 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.76 | $760.00 |
| 09-17 09:46 | Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.32 | $244.80 |
| 09-17 09:38 | Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.71 | $953.58 |
| 09-17 08:45 | Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.35 | $172.46 |
| 09-17 08:42 | Spread: RU Saint-Gilloise (-1.5) | BUY | 0.16 | $274.74 |
| 09-17 08:27 | Will Celtic FC win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.56 | $56.00 |
| 09-17 08:21 | Will Crystal Palace FC vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw? | BUY | 0.82 | $70.66 |
| 09-17 07:19 | Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.968 | $2.4k |
| 09-17 07:19 | Will Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.84 |
| 09-17 07:10 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $76.00 |
| 09-17 07:07 | Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $14.89 |
| 09-16 20:46 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.52 | $760.72 |
| 09-16 18:07 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.87 | $65.54 |
| 09-15 18:29 | Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15? | SELL | 0.447065354 | $2.3k |