PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

TheTokl

0xffb3e20c41fed4f1a4d1502f8de287e1387f9ae4

Realised P&L
$-46.84
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$139.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No0.0500.587$58.70+$53.70
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8780.945$48.45+$3.45
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? · No0.4900.500$20.41+$0.41
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1000.035$7.25−$13.76
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes0.0900.040$2.22−$2.78
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2910.051$1.74−$8.26
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.017$0.59−$4.41

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 21:35Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.9199999985$25.00
09-22 22:05US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9299999993$25.00
09-21 10:54Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25?BUY0.0699999994$5.00
08-19 22:30US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9399999865$50.00
08-08 21:00Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?BUY0.37399998$5.00
08-06 16:52Will Rodri join Barcelona?BUY0.7922077883$40.00
08-06 16:48US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?BUY0.5899999894$20.00
08-06 16:46US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.05$5.00
07-27 22:42GTA 6 launch postponed again?BUY0.0899999845$5.00
07-27 22:36Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2379999678$5.00
07-15 21:37Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6499999961$49.97
07-15 21:35Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5819999907$20.00
07-15 21:33Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.419$11.77
07-14 20:48France vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreSELL0.27$2.25
07-14 20:22Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9459999958$9.00