PolyBot

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Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2028-01-01

Price history

Price history view
Anthropic. Currently 0.978. up 0.028 over the period, from 0.950. Range 0.947 to 0.985. 149 points.

Order book

Not connected

Anthropic

Live
Anthropic asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.99055
0.9916065
0.992100165
0.994785950
0.9952,5153,465
0.9965343,999
0.9976684,667
0.9989035,570
0.99910,47616,046

Spread0.024Mid0.978

Anthropic bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9665555
0.962762
0.9612688
0.954143231
0.93642273
0.931590863
0.9303111,174
0.9271,0002,174
0.9241,0003,174
0.9211,0004,174
0.920364,210
0.915644,274

OpenAI

Live
OpenAI asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0345555
0.038762
0.0392688
0.046143231
0.06442273
0.069590863
0.0703111,174
0.0731,0002,174
0.0761,0003,174
0.0791,0004,174
0.080364,210
0.085644,274

Spread0.024Mid0.022

OpenAI bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.01055
0.0096065
0.008100165
0.006785950
0.0052,5153,465
0.0045343,999
0.0036684,667
0.0029035,570
0.00110,47616,046

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Paul973973Anthropic25,602.71
GOLADS96Anthropic8,211.96
thebetter1234Anthropic6,728.07
woodlawncapAnthropic4,300
yoyobb2018Anthropic2,981.05
TheReturnOfDarthMaulAnthropic2,504
JjwAnthropic2,056.41
swapboxAnthropic1,908
AmandaMoore2890Anthropic1,396
SeutervoinenAnthropic1,373.87
JillWard2486Anthropic1,372
RickyCastillo7127Anthropic1,271
turkerburakAnthropic1,107
RandallBeasley2187Anthropic1,010
BeyonddreamAnthropic1,000
newfinanceAnthropic916
CyjohnyAnthropic883.98
JosephGould9665Anthropic766
dubaidudeAnthropic766
andreagaleazziAnthropic753

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
09:39:33SELLOpenAI0.0320$0.60
16:49:24SELLAnthropic0.96634351151$1.27
13:49:28SELLAnthropic0.975883$860.92
08:35:33SELLAnthropic0.97556$54.60
00:16:01SELLAnthropic0.97570$68.24
17:45:50SELLAnthropic0.975144$140.40
17:45:02SELLAnthropic0.97560$58.28
17:44:46SELLAnthropic0.97517$16.71
17:44:44SELLAnthropic0.97562,000$1951.20
12:45:01SELLAnthropic0.9773107388272$266.01
07:38:29SELLOpenAI0.0135400$5.40
18:08:41SELLOpenAI0.025600$14.99
11:36:08SELLAnthropic0.9624$3.54
10:43:23BUYAnthropic0.97510$10.00
07:36:19SELLOpenAI0.027267$7.20
05:39:59BUYAnthropic0.97199998061$1.00
23:05:23SELLAnthropic0.97171$165.92
23:05:21SELLAnthropic0.964171$164.89
23:05:18BUYOpenAI0.0308895468942$29.11
22:33:17SELLOpenAI0.02799826512,917$81.66
21:52:47SELLOpenAI0.03215$0.49
03:12:21BUYAnthropic0.969100$96.90
02:42:50BUYAnthropic0.9689999982516$500.00
19:31:06SELLOpenAI0.03319$0.63
13:24:14BUYAnthropic0.960999998830$28.66