JillWard2486
0x506a8933b3800b0987bdd1c4d68b2a41e0211b43
- Realised P&L
- $2.3k
- Volume
- $170.1k
- Markets traded
- 196
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded196
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · Anthropic | 0.560 | 0.978 | $1.3k | +$573.50 |
| Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.750 | 1.000 | $807.00 | +$201.75 |
| New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.710 | 1.000 | $721.00 | +$209.09 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on October 28? · Yes | 0.940 | 1.000 | $200.00 | +$12.00 |
| Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.972 | $12.63 | +$1.32 |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.013 | $0.36 | −$1.23 |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.080 | $0.08 | −$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$619.11at 0.126Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2025-12-21?
- +$459.54at 0.310Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?
- +$458.72at 0.390Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during the next press briefing?
- +$327.82at 0.500Will Jake Paul walk out to Paper Planes by M.I.A.?
- +$327.06at 0.210Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Grambling State Tigers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 09:12 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on October 28? | BUY | 0.94 | $188.00 |
| 06-15 14:18 | Will New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw? | SELL | 0.37 | $141.34 |
| 04-23 13:08 | Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $605.25 |
| 04-13 04:15 | Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? | SELL | 0.23 | $44.16 |
| 04-12 00:07 | Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $553.88 |
| 04-11 18:38 | Will Trump post "JD" or "Vance" on Truth Social this week? | SELL | 0.68 | $437.92 |
| 04-11 17:19 | Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $5.18 |
| 04-11 11:47 | AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids Griffins | BUY | 0.361 | $266.78 |
| 04-11 11:04 | Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $568.54 |
| 04-11 08:41 | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | SELL | 0.79 | $515.08 |
| 04-11 08:40 | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | SELL | 0.79 | $7.11 |
| 04-11 08:39 | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | SELL | 0.79 | $37.92 |
| 04-11 06:16 | Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $274.68 |
| 04-10 17:16 | Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $529.74 |
| 04-09 22:47 | Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.79 | $398.16 |