PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

JillWard2486

0x506a8933b3800b0987bdd1c4d68b2a41e0211b43

Realised P&L
$2.6k
Volume
$169.9k
Markets traded
195
Open portfolio
$2.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded195
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · Anthropic0.5600.895$1.2k+$459.62
Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026? · No0.7501.000$807.00+$201.75
New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5 · Under0.7100.850$612.85+$100.94
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026? · Yes0.8700.915$11.89+$0.58
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes0.0590.009$0.24$1.35
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.105$0.10$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-15 14:18Will New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?SELL0.37$141.34
04-23 13:08Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?BUY0.75$605.25
04-13 04:15Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?SELL0.23$44.16
04-12 00:07Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?SELL0.61$553.88
04-11 18:38Will Trump post "JD" or "Vance" on Truth Social this week?SELL0.68$437.92
04-11 17:19Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?SELL0.61$5.18
04-11 11:47AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids GriffinsBUY0.361$266.78
04-11 11:04Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?BUY0.62$568.54
04-11 08:41Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?SELL0.79$515.08
04-11 08:40Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?SELL0.79$7.11
04-11 08:39Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?SELL0.79$37.92
04-11 06:16Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.42$274.68
04-10 17:16Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.81$529.74
04-09 22:47Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.79$398.16
04-09 22:46Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.81$11.34