andreagaleazzi
0x03a3ac8505c40ed2e54cabd74970d9be460ffdf4
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $359.4k
- Markets traded
- 483
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded483
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.187 | 0.900 | $1.3k | +$1.0k |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · Anthropic | 0.650 | 0.978 | $736.43 | +$246.98 |
| Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.610 | 1.000 | $41.00 | +$15.99 |
| US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 1.000 | $1.00 | +$0.82 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.070 | $0.49 | −$1.96 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$0.06 |
| OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$669.53at 0.290Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on February 6, 2026?
- +$613.92at 0.520Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Paris Basketball
- +$533.37at 0.180Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
- +$464.40at 0.220Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
- +$442.98at 0.310Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-12 17:17 | Will Trump say "Losing MAGA" this week? (April 19) | BUY | 0.82 | $1.2k |
| 04-12 15:11 | Ledger IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.77 | $50.82 |
| 04-12 15:01 | Ledger IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.77 | $641.41 |
| 04-12 15:00 | Ledger IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.77 | $16.94 |
| 04-12 14:59 | Ledger IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.77 | $679.91 |
| 04-12 08:19 | Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw? | SELL | 0.38 | $220.40 |
| 04-11 09:54 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | SELL | 0.46 | $4.60 |
| 04-10 21:47 | Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.88 | $306.24 |
| 04-09 23:14 | Will Railbird self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $350.02 |
| 04-09 16:58 | Will Railbird self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $398.86 |
| 04-09 15:48 | Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.187 | $273.77 |
| 04-09 15:14 | Ledger IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.4k |
| 04-08 15:13 | Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.68 | $778.60 |
| 03-31 01:59 | Will Ceará SC win on 2026-04-11? | SELL | 0.21 | $95.34 |
| 03-31 01:58 | Will Ceará SC win on 2026-04-11? | SELL | 0.21 | $26.46 |