RandallBeasley2187
0x19cd2a6fa94fddab6c7f91ec4eb712e51598f7ff
- Realised P&L
- $392.34
- Volume
- $455.3k
- Markets traded
- 378
- Open portfolio
- $983.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded378
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · Anthropic | 0.650 | 0.942 | $950.91 | +$294.42 |
| Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET? · No | 0.857 | 0.966 | $22.22 | +$2.51 |
| Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · No | 0.740 | 0.999 | $9.98 | +$2.58 |
| Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.215 | $0.24 | +$0.06 |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.32 |
| Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$808.86at 0.220Will Donna Miller be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?
- +$331.96at 0.250Will "Wake Up Dead Man" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)
- +$279.48at 0.490XRP Up or Down - February 16, 9PM ET
- +$242.93at 0.253Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
- +$234.58at 0.780Will GroenLinks–Labour Party (GL–PvdA) win the most seats in Utrecht’s 2026 municipal election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 09:20 | Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | SELL | 0.37 | $4.81 |
| 04-13 15:41 | Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.93 |
| 04-11 09:21 | Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Revolution" or "Revolutionary" during NYC rally? | SELL | 0.34 | $224.74 |
| 04-10 04:01 | Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5? | BUY | 0.797 | $511.67 |
| 04-10 03:54 | Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Revolution" or "Revolutionary" during NYC rally? | BUY | 0.37 | $244.57 |
| 04-10 01:11 | Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 10? | BUY | 0.84 | $523.32 |
| 04-07 21:10 | Will Trump say "Putin" during events with Rutte? | BUY | 0.28 | $49.28 |
| 04-07 19:27 | Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.456 | $307.80 |
| 03-31 02:19 | Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.73 | $167.90 |
| 03-30 16:09 | Will Viking FK win on 2026-04-18? | SELL | 0.6 | $7.20 |
| 03-30 14:09 | Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.73 | $8.76 |
| 03-30 03:43 | Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.74 | $179.08 |
| 03-24 07:55 | Clavicular charged again by June 30? | SELL | 0.82 | $32.80 |
| 03-24 05:56 | Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $37.44 |
| 03-24 05:03 | Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $108.12 |