RickyCastillo7127
0x524313ce96849be79db072a3ba8344aa5b38a73c
- Realised P&L
- $1.0k
- Volume
- $252.1k
- Markets traded
- 439
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded439
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · Anthropic | 0.560 | 0.942 | $1.2k | +$484.89 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.660 | 0.915 | $601.15 | +$167.53 |
| ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka · Afghanistan | 0.210 | 0.510 | $255.51 | +$150.30 |
| Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.208 | $1.04 | +$0.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$494.14at 0.104Will Russia capture Zaliznychne by February 28?
- +$370.51at 0.160Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-02-25?
- +$367.54at 0.530Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 6PM ET
- +$268.80at 0.200Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces
- +$235.69at 0.630Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next YouTube video?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-11 17:14 | Waymo IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.87 | $224.46 |
| 04-11 17:09 | Waymo IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.87 | $605.52 |
| 04-11 17:08 | Waymo IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.87 | $107.88 |
| 04-11 17:07 | Waymo IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.86 | $71.38 |
| 04-11 10:04 | Clavicular arrested again by April 30? | SELL | 0.63 | $157.50 |
| 04-11 10:03 | Clavicular arrested again by April 30? | SELL | 0.63 | $191.52 |
| 04-10 15:43 | Clavicular arrested again by April 30? | BUY | 0.59 | $326.86 |
| 04-10 13:22 | Waymo IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.88 | $1.0k |
| 04-07 21:16 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $433.62 |
| 03-30 16:56 | Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 60 by April 30? | SELL | 0.69 | $380.19 |
| 03-30 16:54 | Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 60 by April 30? | SELL | 0.69 | $393.99 |
| 03-29 14:27 | Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 60 by April 30? | BUY | 0.81 | $908.82 |
| 03-26 02:54 | Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.04 |
| 03-26 02:36 | Will BetBoom Team qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $263.34 |
| 03-23 16:58 | Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $275.07 |