PolyBot

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Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-02
Resolves by
https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/
Rewards
0 min size · 0¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.434. up 0.154 over the period, from 0.281. Range 0.279 to 0.494. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.4395050
0.440164214
0.45320234
0.45730264
0.458220484
0.4596291,113
0.460101,123
0.4641,4092,532
0.465542,586
0.4674453,031
0.470133,044
0.472733,117

Spread0.009Mid0.434

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.4302222
0.4242446
0.420477523
0.41910533
0.414355888
0.41075963
0.4091,3202,283
0.4084502,733
0.4072,0004,733
0.4054505,183
0.4042,0007,183
0.4016757,858

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.5702222
0.5762446
0.580477523
0.58110533
0.586355888
0.59075963
0.5911,3202,283
0.5924502,733
0.5932,0004,733
0.5954505,183
0.5962,0007,183
0.5996757,858

Spread0.009Mid0.566

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.5615050
0.560164214
0.54720234
0.54330264
0.542220484
0.5416291,113
0.540101,123
0.5361,4092,532
0.535542,586
0.5334453,031
0.530133,044
0.528733,117

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
occasionalAwarenessYes86,027.79
0xffBbF885454E6930e54b720ad5224175b8AE36e9-1720913580384Yes78,131.79
CUTJALENHURTSYes20,000
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Yes18,547.92
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Yes10,259.32
bobothehoboYes10,000
HerrieDavisYes9,014.24
0x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-1792437064758Yes8,650.09
akimbogodYes8,518.22
BeneGesseritVoiceYes8,366.33
navtradezYes6,474.38
cassinoYes4,980.92
UUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUYes4,153.67
ShijiebeiiiYes3,861.56
MaxEntYes2,652.19
UnreasonableAwarenessYes2,189.29
D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Yes2,149.43
dlakmldkaYes2,099.99
Contentious-DinnerdateYes2,000
wan123Yes1,930.74

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:09:10BUYNo0.573$1.71
18:29:15BUYNo0.5774$42.36
18:14:36BUYNo0.569008264561$34.43
17:16:27BUYYes0.480999995121$10.00
17:10:37SELLNo0.524960232643$22.57
14:21:51BUYYes0.47899992482$1.00
14:13:07BUYNo0.52374$38.70
14:12:51BUYNo0.523126$65.90
14:12:46BUYNo0.52393$48.64
14:12:43BUYNo0.522118$61.60
14:12:39BUYNo0.52298$51.16
14:12:34SELLNo0.520012340815,080$7841.79
13:53:15BUYYes0.475999998574$35.00
13:05:49SELLYes0.45725$11.43
13:05:06SELLYes0.45714$6.43
12:07:03BUYYes0.46999997966$3.00
11:59:57BUYYes0.4699999062$1.00
11:26:37SELLYes0.45710$4.41
11:20:07SELLYes0.4585$2.29
11:14:01BUYYes0.4689999994426$200.00
08:14:15SELLYes0.4578$3.74
05:00:30SELLYes0.45723$10.63
04:55:22BUYYes0.4657$3.17
04:55:22SELLYes0.457105$47.85
04:55:22BUYYes0.45738$17.52