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0x84a782035d48d86ad9a8becc315c3955821f9743
- Realised P&L
- $-4.3k
- Volume
- $171.9k
- Markets traded
- 236
- Open portfolio
- $7.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded236
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$340.67at 0.277Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $177 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$251.98at 0.104Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $174 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$232.98at 0.097Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
- +$143.50at 0.933Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$123.35at 0.457Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 02:00 | US recession by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $1.0k |
| 10-10 02:43 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.84 | $2.8k |
| 10-06 22:59 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | SELL | 0.938 | $376.75 |
| 10-04 21:24 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.1097816443 | $100.00 |
| 10-04 19:45 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | SELL | 0.929 | $1.2k |
| 10-04 00:20 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.4068560812 | $1.8k |
| 10-03 23:04 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $274.78 |
| 10-03 04:08 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $225.00 |
| 10-03 03:54 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.5689746846 | $921.49 |
| 10-03 03:53 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.566987052 | $437.90 |
| 10-03 03:51 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.5669568374 | $1.0k |
| 10-03 03:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | SELL | 0.078 | $7.80 |
| 10-03 03:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | BUY | 0.367 | $36.70 |
| 10-03 02:08 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $80.00 |
| 10-03 00:55 | Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $323.85 |