PolyBot

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Will a hurricane make landfall in Rhode Island by November 30, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-08
Resolves by
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.092. up 0.024 over the period, from 0.068. Range 0.068 to 0.105. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0992525
0.1032550
0.10956106
0.112249355
0.11320375
0.12133408
0.15840448
0.80818466
0.80910476
0.81337513
0.82145558
0.88250608

Spread0.014Mid0.092

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0852020
0.0842141
0.0822566
0.0772086
0.07556142
0.07260202
0.07160262
0.07020282
0.057461743
0.006240983
0.0054001,383
0.0045001,883

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9152020
0.9162141
0.9182566
0.9232086
0.92556142
0.92860202
0.92960262
0.93020282
0.943461743
0.994240983
0.9954001,383
0.9965001,883

Spread0.014Mid0.908

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9012525
0.8972550
0.89156106
0.888249355
0.88720375
0.87933408
0.84240448
0.19218466
0.19110476
0.18737513
0.17945558
0.11850608

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
chessplayerYes149.52
thecaricatureYes79.31
Dr.PNLYes70.12
Mojito9Yes41.2
romanew-7-spread05Yes17.64
AJSVYes15.03
BeefSlayerNo274.16
0xf51b…ca1bNo25
smarterstrat-juniorNo20
sdfsdfsdfsdf2No20
tadeclaw-1No16.33
2B9SNo10
0x6c09…25d6No5.53
trrr12No1.79

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
15:19:49BUYYes0.08310$0.83
10:43:52BUYNo0.92925$23.23
00:52:01SELLNo0.9315361287167$155.73
20:10:52SELLNo0.9312$2.02
23:01:40BUYNo0.92810$9.28
21:25:46SELLNo0.90513$12.20
22:08:58BUYNo0.91799999451$1.00
22:08:58BUYNo0.91799998134$3.63
22:08:58BUYNo0.9186$5.08
22:08:57SELLNo0.90880$72.63
21:41:45BUYNo0.91799999451$1.00
21:41:43BUYNo0.917018977710$8.74
21:41:42BUYNo0.9004120101194$174.83
21:41:42BUYNo0.91299995912$1.63
21:41:42BUYNo0.912999999416$14.91
10:20:01SELLNo0.9007477406101$90.70
11:06:57SELLYes0.09220$1.84
11:06:55SELLYes0.09740$3.88
22:29:28SELLNo0.920659863959$54.13
15:10:58SELLYes0.0525$0.28
01:22:01BUYNo0.924613718455$51.22
01:20:58BUYNo0.9162310808163$149.28
00:58:39BUYNo0.322$6.60
20:02:45BUYYes0.130$3.00
00:20:13SELLYes0.0420$0.80