Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-04
Resolves by: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.09. down 0.00 over the period, from 0.09. Range 0.07 to 0.10. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.09	20	20
0.10	315	335
0.11	160	495
0.14	17	512
0.17	10	522
0.18	9	530
0.19	42	572
0.23	80	652
0.24	58	710
0.29	55	765
0.48	30	795
0.71	20	815

Spread0.01Mid0.08

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.08	21	21
0.06	392	413
0.05	1,145	1,558
0.04	664	2,222
0.03	1,660	3,882
0.02	344	4,226
0.01	1,060	5,286

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.92	21	21
0.94	392	413
0.95	1,145	1,558
0.96	664	2,222
0.97	1,660	3,882
0.98	344	4,226
0.99	1,060	5,286

Spread0.01Mid0.92

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.91	20	20
0.90	315	335
0.89	160	495
0.86	17	512
0.83	10	522
0.82	9	530
0.81	42	572
0.77	80	652
0.76	58	710
0.71	55	765
0.52	30	795
0.29	20	815

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
PnW	Yes	555.87
ClearMove	Yes	403.11
rushrimper	Yes	289.94
SuperTests	Yes	156
AJSV	Yes	87.42
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	80
PontiusPilate	Yes	68.09
FEDunemployed	Yes	45.56
StraddleSeller	Yes	35.69
misterwilly	Yes	18.18
a5533	Yes	15
0x7f15F350261a0dfA8bff802df364E33773d552f1-1768964329836	No	713.17
cplyrcmol2	No	309.28
KiruaTrading	No	304.94
bonalddrunk	No	179.99
tradetosurvive1	No	35
donaldmonkey	No	30
gotonetry33	No	30
Fniii	No	21
will056000	No	21

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
11:36:39	SELL	No	0.9	5	$4.61
11:36:33	BUY	Yes	0.0899999993	111	$10.00
10:44:03	SELL	Yes	0.06	8	$0.48
10:43:36	BUY	No	0.93	30	$27.90
08:51:55	BUY	No	0.91	16	$14.56
05:40:43	BUY	No	0.91	5	$4.55
00:05:42	BUY	Yes	0.1137440754	88	$10.00
11:55:10	BUY	No	0.91	21	$19.11
00:33:06	SELL	No	0.88	4	$3.43
00:33:04	BUY	Yes	0.1099999999	91	$10.00
13:09:54	BUY	No	0.9199999978	18	$16.40
08:08:21	BUY	No	0.91	15	$13.65
22:35:04	BUY	No	0.92	500	$460.00
16:51:55	SELL	Yes	0.08	13	$1.04
16:50:07	BUY	Yes	0.08	25	$2.00
02:11:16	BUY	Yes	0.06	38	$2.25
22:51:21	SELL	Yes	0.04	20	$0.80
20:13:31	SELL	Yes	0.05	20	$1.00
20:07:30	SELL	Yes	0.05	20	$1.00
20:01:30	SELL	Yes	0.05	20	$1.00
19:52:28	SELL	Yes	0.05	20	$1.00
19:43:27	SELL	Yes	0.05	20	$1.00
19:40:31	SELL	Yes	0.05	20	$1.00
19:40:27	SELL	Yes	0.05	40	$2.00
19:25:24	SELL	Yes	0.05	20	$1.00