PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ClearMove

0xd7f15d5ebda09853ee778019d5513fca4bef73cd

Realised P&L
$28.4k
Volume
$1.98M
Markets traded
1,148
Open portfolio
$4.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,148
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration65.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? · No0.2800.927$820.80+$573.02
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1170.075$497.93$276.57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2900.165$330.00$250.00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.6380.166$315.40$897.89
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1770.145$290.00$65.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.1950.205$246.61+$12.11
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.150$225.00+$60.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · No0.1570.075$221.25$241.25
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? · Yes0.2940.165$213.51$166.61
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.1120.095$114.00$20.74
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1730.055$102.56$219.67
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2000.115$92.00$68.00
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · Yes0.1530.133$66.50$10.28
Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1360.135$65.47$0.53
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1300.065$65.00$65.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 17:41Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.28$37.67
09-16 17:38Will Trump say "Egg" during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.3398247456$135.93
09-16 17:37Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.59$59.00
09-16 17:34Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.28$53.20
09-16 17:34Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.28$47.60
09-16 17:32Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.28$98.00
09-16 17:31Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 15+ times during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.6$60.00
09-16 17:21Will Trump say "Egg" during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.33$141.90
09-16 17:19Will Trump say "Furniture" during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.24$42.00
09-14 18:22Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 25, 2026?BUY0.1991675$47.80
09-14 18:21Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.18$2.81
09-14 18:15Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 25, 2026?BUY0.17$51.00
09-14 15:34US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.13$1.33
09-13 16:18Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026?BUY0.32699$98.10
09-13 16:18Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026?BUY0.29$8.70