PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

ClearMove

0xd7f15d5ebda09853ee778019d5513fca4bef73cd

Realised P&L
$29.1k
Volume
$1.98M
Markets traded
1,182
Open portfolio
$3.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,182
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration42.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.1300.135$540.00+$20.00
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0950.169$448.57+$196.10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2900.175$349.99−$230.00
Iran leadership change by November 30? · Yes0.0730.085$295.80+$42.40
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.6380.148$282.15−$931.14
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1170.041$272.20−$502.30
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · Yes0.0900.155$201.50+$84.50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1770.095$190.00−$165.00
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? · Yes0.7190.875$175.00+$31.13
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.085$127.50−$37.50
Will Amcha Yisrael win 3.25-4% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · No0.8960.992$109.06+$10.52
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.1120.080$96.00−$38.74
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · Yes0.1160.086$80.96−$27.21
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1730.036$68.06−$254.17
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2000.075$60.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 20:03Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0974579495$192.97
10-27 19:58Will Amcha Yisrael win 3.25-4% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.8959090909$98.55
10-27 19:53Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.32$6.74
10-27 19:19Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.34$34.00
10-27 16:19Will Warsh say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during October Press Conference?BUY0.56$28.00
10-27 13:58Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.35$35.00
10-27 11:32Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.407$40.70
10-26 20:59Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.4424524887$97.78
10-25 02:02Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?BUY0.336$50.40
10-21 19:09Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.85$850.00
10-21 18:50US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?BUY0.094$44.00
10-21 17:23Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.13$260.00
10-20 19:15Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?BUY0.09$144.00
10-19 23:35Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1346490005$8.69
10-14 01:33Iran leadership change by October 31?BUY0.02$28.00