ClearMove
0xd7f15d5ebda09853ee778019d5513fca4bef73cd
- Realised P&L
- $29.1k
- Volume
- $1.98M
- Markets traded
- 1,182
- Open portfolio
- $3.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,182
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration42.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.9kat 0.024Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$6.7kat 0.101Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
- +$6.2kat 0.242US military action against Iran by Monday?
- +$5.5kat 0.190Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$3.9kat 0.129US military action against Iran by Sunday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 20:03 | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0974579495 | $192.97 |
| 10-27 19:58 | Will Amcha Yisrael win 3.25-4% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.8959090909 | $98.55 |
| 10-27 19:53 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.32 | $6.74 |
| 10-27 19:19 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.34 | $34.00 |
| 10-27 16:19 | Will Warsh say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during October Press Conference? | BUY | 0.56 | $28.00 |
| 10-27 13:58 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.35 | $35.00 |
| 10-27 11:32 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.407 | $40.70 |
| 10-26 20:59 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4424524887 | $97.78 |
| 10-25 02:02 | Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? | BUY | 0.336 | $50.40 |
| 10-21 19:09 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.85 | $850.00 |
| 10-21 18:50 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | BUY | 0.094 | $44.00 |
| 10-21 17:23 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $260.00 |
| 10-20 19:15 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.09 | $144.00 |
| 10-19 23:35 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1346490005 | $8.69 |
| 10-14 01:33 | Iran leadership change by October 31? | BUY | 0.02 | $28.00 |