ClearMove
0xd7f15d5ebda09853ee778019d5513fca4bef73cd
- Realised P&L
- $28.4k
- Volume
- $1.98M
- Markets traded
- 1,148
- Open portfolio
- $4.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,148
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.9kat 0.024Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$6.7kat 0.101Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
- +$6.2kat 0.242US military action against Iran by Monday?
- +$5.5kat 0.190Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$3.9kat 0.129US military action against Iran by Sunday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 17:41 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.28 | $37.67 |
| 09-16 17:38 | Will Trump say "Egg" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.3398247456 | $135.93 |
| 09-16 17:37 | Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.59 | $59.00 |
| 09-16 17:34 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.28 | $53.20 |
| 09-16 17:34 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.28 | $47.60 |
| 09-16 17:32 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.28 | $98.00 |
| 09-16 17:31 | Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 15+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.6 | $60.00 |
| 09-16 17:21 | Will Trump say "Egg" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.33 | $141.90 |
| 09-16 17:19 | Will Trump say "Furniture" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.24 | $42.00 |
| 09-14 18:22 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.1991675 | $47.80 |
| 09-14 18:21 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $2.81 |
| 09-14 18:15 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $51.00 |
| 09-14 15:34 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.33 |
| 09-13 16:18 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.32699 | $98.10 |
| 09-13 16:18 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $8.70 |