PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Will a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by November 30?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-01
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.952. up 0.192 over the period, from 0.760. Range 0.760 to 0.974. 49 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.979121121
0.98020141
0.98580221
0.986198419
0.997260679
0.9995641,243

Spread0.054Mid0.952

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9254040
0.920132172
0.91980252
0.917100352
0.900101453
0.83011464
0.610120584
0.5505589
0.4104971,086
0.0402501,336
0.0331,0002,336
0.0304172,753

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0754040
0.080132172
0.08180252
0.083100352
0.100101453
0.17011464
0.390120584
0.4505589
0.5904971,086
0.9602501,336
0.9671,0002,336
0.9704172,753

Spread0.054Mid0.048

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.021121121
0.02020141
0.01580221
0.014198419
0.003260679
0.0015641,243

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
KiruaTradingYes360
buyat89Yes197.76
DowJones2Yes29.24
tradetosurvive1Yes20
To67BerryYes1.14
xtxpleasecallmeNo242.1
LovelyPandaNo112.04
Numitus1994No101
0x768f1b93189632C1E70aDc3b8ff2Ef39454CDcE6-1768817802755No70.45
GuyFromTinderNo60.69
HaradwaithNo11.17
LornaPredictsNo7.47
CarabaoNo1.13
BeeYouNo1.1
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.No1

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
16:02:52SELLYes0.93460$56.04
16:02:43SELLYes0.9417$16.39
12:36:00BUYNo0.042585059670$3.00
11:42:04SELLNo0.027$0.15
11:41:36SELLNo0.03111$3.32
11:30:33SELLYes0.9611$10.72
11:20:10SELLNo0.0310$0.30
10:52:09SELLNo0.0320$0.60
10:50:46SELLNo0.0410$0.40
10:31:36BUYNo0.0920$1.80
10:30:01BUYNo0.0820$1.60
10:28:49BUYYes0.940$36.00
10:28:49BUYYes0.9220$18.40
10:20:42BUYNo0.0860$4.80
10:11:27BUYNo0.0831$2.46
10:08:49BUYYes0.929$26.28
10:04:04BUYYes0.96$5.40
09:59:10BUYYes0.960$54.00
09:57:12BUYYes0.96$5.22
09:54:12SELLYes0.821$0.55
09:54:10BUYYes0.869999999340$35.20
09:54:10BUYYes0.86999999620$17.60
09:54:10BUYYes0.8740$34.80
09:54:10BUYYes0.8760$52.20
07:08:46SELLNo0.121$0.14