PolyBot

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Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-09-20
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.13. down 0.15 over the period, from 0.27. Range 0.07 to 0.45. 105 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.13138138
0.14504642
0.16300942
0.17741,016
0.183271,343
0.21921,435
0.2251,440
0.445952,035
0.45402,075
0.59202,094
0.62902,184
0.634002,584

Spread0.01Mid0.13

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.12406406
0.11180586
0.104411,027
0.041001,127
0.0371,134
0.023001,434
0.012201,654

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.88406406
0.89180586
0.904411,027
0.961001,127
0.9771,134
0.983001,434
0.992201,654

Spread0.01Mid0.88

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.87138138
0.86504642
0.84300942
0.83741,016
0.823271,343
0.79921,435
0.7851,440
0.565952,035
0.55402,075
0.41202,094
0.38902,184
0.374002,584

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
balthazarYes700
JosephIsGreatYes300
2B9SYes144.16
eqzwe103qwieYes131.6
lolzzzlolYes50.38
0x5F3ee9c40Be255D1C18cA38bf4Ab94b564C75337-1776862065527Yes50
AJSVYes43.99
gabriellelangerYes41.63
EmperorjoshuaYes7.71
pppnnYes3.33
0xa5ef…2966No1,101.64
johnashboughNo152.8
PavtheGreatNo150.89
ms1910No62.07
0xC9Ac825482C4414e403B0ee8c528ADeB52085cd4-1739619212215No6

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
04:34:52BUYNo0.8712$10.51
04:04:31BUYNo0.8699999991125$108.83
03:52:30BUYYes0.13999999488$1.08
02:32:36BUYNo0.86022813317$14.71
00:26:33BUYNo0.860230626611$9.14
00:07:06BUYNo0.87103$89.32
00:06:42BUYNo0.8710$8.70
23:41:13BUYYes0.14300$42.00
22:37:00SELLYes0.1334$4.45
19:10:01BUYNo0.878$6.96
18:06:31BUYNo0.877$6.18
17:09:51BUYNo0.876$5.05
17:09:36SELLYes0.130$0.03
17:07:39BUYNo0.876$4.79
17:05:42BUYYes0.139999989810$1.37
16:57:01SELLYes0.1317$2.16
16:54:16SELLYes0.137$0.91
16:50:54SELLYes0.134$0.51
16:47:24BUYYes0.139999990112$1.70
16:46:09BUYYes0.139999998716$2.22
13:43:21BUYNo0.8710$8.70
13:43:21BUYNo0.8733$28.45
13:36:24SELLYes0.135$0.65
12:48:46BUYNo0.868$7.11
12:47:54BUYNo0.85999998669$7.72