0xC9Ac825482C4414e403B0ee8c528ADeB52085cd4-1739619212215
0xa2246539d2bdd6bb1d00b1b34b634e8df13102fa
- Realised P&L
- $-21.17
- Volume
- $3.8k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $51.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.20at 0.440US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?
- +$10.04at 0.471US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
- +$9.10at 0.350US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
- +$6.38at 0.420Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?
- +$5.17at 0.450Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 00:17 | Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.85 | $7.65 |
| 09-16 00:17 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15? | SELL | 0.998 | $7.98 |
| 09-15 00:21 | Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.87 | $5.22 |
| 09-14 06:35 | Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.74 | $7.40 |
| 09-14 06:23 | Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $7.92 |
| 09-13 06:15 | Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 09-11 18:20 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.81 | $9.72 |
| 09-11 12:23 | Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $4.18 |
| 09-09 21:16 | Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6954545455 | $7.65 |
| 09-09 18:18 | Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $4.80 |
| 09-09 15:16 | Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $6.75 |
| 09-07 03:15 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $7.50 |
| 09-07 00:18 | Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $11.84 |
| 09-04 09:16 | Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $7.11 |
| 09-04 03:16 | Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $8.10 |