PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xC9Ac825482C4414e403B0ee8c528ADeB52085cd4-1739619212215

0xa2246539d2bdd6bb1d00b1b34b634e8df13102fa

Realised P&L
$-21.17
Volume
$3.8k
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$51.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026? · No0.8400.976$8.78+$1.22
Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026? · No0.9000.970$8.73+$0.63
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.7500.825$8.25+$0.75
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? · No0.7400.785$7.85+$0.45
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? · No0.8500.855$7.70+$0.04
Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? · No0.8700.875$5.25+$0.03
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? · No0.8500.910$4.55+$0.30
Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? · Yes0.1420.000$0.00$5.54
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$0.90
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.6500.000$0.00$3.25
Senegal to score first vs. France? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$2.00
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$2.00
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.5650.000$0.00$2.83
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16? · Yes0.2160.000$0.00$5.18
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? · Yes0.0610.000$0.00$1.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 00:17Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?BUY0.85$7.65
09-16 00:17US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?SELL0.998$7.98
09-15 00:21Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?BUY0.87$5.22
09-14 06:35Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?BUY0.74$7.40
09-14 06:23Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?SELL0.88$7.92
09-13 06:15Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?BUY0.85$4.25
09-11 18:20Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?SELL0.81$9.72
09-11 12:23Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?SELL0.38$4.18
09-09 21:16Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?BUY0.6954545455$7.65
09-09 18:18Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?SELL0.32$4.80
09-09 15:16Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?BUY0.45$6.75
09-07 03:15Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.75$7.50
09-07 00:18Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?SELL0.32$11.84
09-04 09:16Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?BUY0.79$7.11
09-04 03:16Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9$8.10