Emperorjoshua
0x846f84f6395ea3e6dc045a18deb6ea7579578ba7
- Realised P&L
- $-0.75
- Volume
- $743.15
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $18.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)31.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 36.0 and 36.5 million views on day 4? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.121 | $9.19 | +$3.93 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 36.5 and 37.0 million views on day 4? · No | 0.170 | 0.250 | $2.94 | +$0.94 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 37.0 and 37.5 million views on day 4? · No | 0.550 | 0.845 | $2.10 | +$0.73 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31? · No | 0.043 | 0.026 | $1.22 | −$0.79 |
| Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.135 | $1.04 | −$0.04 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? · No | 0.128 | 0.072 | $0.99 | −$0.76 |
| Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.125 | $0.96 | −$0.12 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 36.0 million views on day 4? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.001 | $0.06 | −$7.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.07at 0.074Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 37.5 and 38.0 million views on day 4?
- +$3.71at 0.324Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
- +$1.59at 0.475Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-13?
- +$1.41at 0.684Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?
- +$0.73at 0.802Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 04:03 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 36.0 and 36.5 million views on day 4? | BUY | 0.109 | $1.09 |
| 09-16 03:52 | Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.1399999948 | $1.08 |
| 09-16 03:52 | Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.1399999948 | $1.08 |
| 09-16 03:37 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 36.0 and 36.5 million views on day 4? | BUY | 0.0849999957 | $1.08 |
| 09-16 03:34 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 36.5 and 37.0 million views on day 4? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 03:26 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 36.0 and 36.5 million views on day 4? | BUY | 0.0849999957 | $1.08 |
| 09-15 23:57 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 36.0 and 36.5 million views on day 4? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.01 |
| 09-15 23:54 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 37.5 and 38.0 million views on day 4? | SELL | 0.3684566428 | $9.26 |
| 09-15 23:54 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 37.5 and 38.0 million views on day 4? | BUY | 0.0699999976 | $1.76 |
| 09-15 23:53 | Will Intercontinental Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.80 |
| 09-15 23:31 | Will Strava’s market cap be between $2B and $3B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.49 |
| 09-15 23:15 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 36.0 and 36.5 million views on day 4? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 23:14 | AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.73 |
| 09-15 22:51 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 36.0 million views on day 4? | BUY | 0.0309999997 | $1.85 |
| 09-15 22:50 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.91 |