PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-07-31

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.010. down 0.108 over the period, from 0.118. Range 0.004 to 0.119. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0173030
0.018755785
0.019108893
0.0216899
0.0225904
0.0241201,024
0.0272001,224
0.0302551,479
0.0371271,606
0.0401001,706
0.0635002,206
0.0657502,956

Spread0.014Mid0.010

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0033,2573,257
0.0023,3826,639
0.0013,74910,388

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9973,2573,257
0.9983,3826,639
0.9993,74910,388

Spread0.014Mid0.990

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9833030
0.982755785
0.981108893
0.9796899
0.9785904
0.9761201,024
0.9732001,224
0.9702551,479
0.9631271,606
0.9601001,706
0.9375002,206
0.9357502,956

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
windtreeYes10,200
Doomsday77Yes7,287.92
Ox4B7e1D3cA9825F0aC176bE29d830A54F12cD78a6Yes7,091.41
PhongLeXBTYes4,803.09
0x21F701A6d8febFd948F899114f2B9D9a8ef7e19F-1760280914378Yes4,624.18
JAMJAMJAM4Yes3,582.99
WharfManYes3,099
D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Yes2,754.98
third-eyeYes2,685.49
GodRamaYes2,352.55
fiterYes1,799
machiaveliaYes1,318
0xALoremipsumYes1,138.88
DOG-UndressedVersionYes1,000
planktonXDYes884
etarYes849.99
soqmfaksYes805.88
0x9afc…314bYes658.8
Its-BaneYes599.64
NadmiYes576.05

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
23:34:53BUYNo0.99613$12.65
21:03:50BUYNo0.9959383952325$323.33
14:59:38BUYYes0.016276908961$1.00
07:26:39SELLNo0.98122$21.38
01:06:20SELLYes0.0051$0.01
10:04:33BUYNo0.989999958822$21.88
10:02:03BUYNo0.986999977731$30.85
09:38:53BUYNo0.989999970432$31.74
09:20:23BUYNo0.988999994531$31.14
09:17:51BUYNo0.986999972631$30.96
08:22:39BUYNo0.989999973632$31.84
08:20:12BUYNo0.987999978532$31.68
08:01:36BUYNo0.9924$24.25
08:01:24BUYNo0.9924$24.25
07:58:57BUYNo0.989842971837$36.75
07:56:30BUYNo0.988999982231$30.72
07:37:57BUYNo0.988999980131$31.03
07:33:12BUYNo0.987999999932$31.17
07:30:44BUYNo0.986999980831$31.09
01:37:23BUYNo0.9816$5.60
01:07:30BUYNo0.980999974226$25.67
23:57:59BUYYes0.01078114452,560$27.60
23:16:56SELLNo0.990110746310$307.37
23:15:05SELLNo0.9910547667281$278.50
22:41:45BUYYes0.0078748081,999$15.74