third-eye
0xdc4f08727c65afc4731b75cf1ed265666b7b4652
- Realised P&L
- $163.7k
- Volume
- $24.60M
- Markets traded
- 639
- Open portfolio
- $138.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded639
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$58.2kat 0.953Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$46.8kat 0.948Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
- +$36.5kat 0.436Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$33.6kat 0.887SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
- +$13.1kat 0.792Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 20:52 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.5632 | $56.32 |
| 07-30 20:42 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.401 | $2.61 |
| 07-30 20:36 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.2256230607 | $278.64 |
| 07-30 18:59 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $900.00 |
| 07-30 17:39 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $2.1k |
| 07-30 12:57 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $718.51 |
| 07-30 12:53 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.4k |
| 07-29 16:51 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.745 | $812.04 |
| 07-23 16:51 | UFC Fight Night: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.81 | $81.00 |
| 07-23 16:50 | Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31? | BUY | 0.957 | $28.71 |
| 07-23 13:50 | Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx | BUY | 0.92 | $9.20 |
| 07-23 12:54 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.989 | $365.92 |
| 07-23 05:27 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.992 | $53.8k |
| 07-23 05:12 | Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | BUY | 0.38 | $185.32 |
| 07-23 02:34 | Will Dallas Wings win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | BUY | 0.94 | $152.75 |