PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x21F701A6d8febFd948F899114f2B9D9a8ef7e19F-1760280914378

0x21f701a6d8febfd948f899114f2b9d9a8ef7e19f

Realised P&L
$7.0k
Volume
$1.00M
Markets traded
131
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded131
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? · Yes0.0530.055$418.73+$18.11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? · Yes0.0800.085$269.28+$15.84
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? · Yes0.1790.089$90.60$92.03
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · Yes0.0600.043$85.80$34.20
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0600.025$49.00$70.95
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0860.011$48.55$350.73
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? · Yes0.0540.027$32.40$32.38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August? · Yes0.0440.034$31.46$9.15
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.2800.065$24.74$81.83
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · Yes0.0050.001$5.00$45.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 27-August 2? · Yes0.0120.004$2.63$4.39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? · Yes0.0650.001$1.53$196.21
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.001$1.41$140.04
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 26, 2026? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$205.58
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00$79.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 02:11Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.09$444.99
08-02 02:07Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?SELL0.15$1.0k
07-31 19:33U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.005$30.18
07-31 16:50Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.003$3.00
07-31 16:49Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.002$0.51
07-31 09:29Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?BUY0.014$14.00
07-31 09:29Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?BUY0.013995$14.00
07-31 07:27Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?BUY0.25$21.59
07-31 07:27Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?BUY0.2491401$249.14
07-29 17:35Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.754$75.40
07-29 14:31Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?BUY0.109$70.06
07-29 14:31Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?BUY0.10892$108.92
07-29 14:25Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?BUY0.0438917733$40.61
07-29 10:42Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?BUY0.63952375$5.1k
07-29 10:41Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?BUY0.1597845101$169.75