0x21F701A6d8febFd948F899114f2B9D9a8ef7e19F-1760280914378
0x21f701a6d8febfd948f899114f2b9d9a8ef7e19f
- Realised P&L
- $7.0k
- Volume
- $1.00M
- Markets traded
- 131
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded131
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.7kat 0.430Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?
- +$4.8kat 0.354Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
- +$2.9kat 0.640Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
- +$1.8kat 0.306Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
- +$1.5kat 0.306Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 02:11 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.09 | $444.99 |
| 08-02 02:07 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.0k |
| 07-31 19:33 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.005 | $30.18 |
| 07-31 16:50 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.003 | $3.00 |
| 07-31 16:49 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.51 |
| 07-31 09:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.014 | $14.00 |
| 07-31 09:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.013995 | $14.00 |
| 07-31 07:27 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? | BUY | 0.25 | $21.59 |
| 07-31 07:27 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? | BUY | 0.2491401 | $249.14 |
| 07-29 17:35 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.754 | $75.40 |
| 07-29 14:31 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | BUY | 0.109 | $70.06 |
| 07-29 14:31 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | BUY | 0.10892 | $108.92 |
| 07-29 14:25 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August? | BUY | 0.0438917733 | $40.61 |
| 07-29 10:42 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? | BUY | 0.63952375 | $5.1k |
| 07-29 10:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.1597845101 | $169.75 |