PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x21F701A6d8febFd948F899114f2B9D9a8ef7e19F-1760280914378

0x21f701a6d8febfd948f899114f2b9d9a8ef7e19f

Realised P&L
$7.7k
Volume
$1.27M
Markets traded
193
Open portfolio
$33.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded193
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? · Yes0.1790.018$18.83−$163.80
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0600.005$10.00−$109.96
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.2800.011$4.19−$102.39
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on September 22? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$500.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 15? · No0.0120.000$0.00−$12.50
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 26, 2026? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$205.58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET · Down0.1000.000$0.00−$20.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 12? · No0.1260.000$0.00−$436.22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 12? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$359.98
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 3? · No0.0500.000$0.00−$252.49
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · No0.0810.000$0.00−$113.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$75.98
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00−$79.51
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? · No0.0040.000$0.00−$39.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 02:24Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?SELL0.55$534.74
10-26 06:18Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.25$1.3k
10-25 23:17Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.09$180.00
10-23 12:50Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?BUY0.01622524$16.23
10-19 16:13US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.6$45.30
10-19 01:36Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?BUY0.39$157.48
10-18 15:06Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.32$1.6k
10-13 12:41Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?BUY0.32$1.6k
10-08 16:22Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?BUY0.33$13.52
10-08 06:47Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?BUY0.32$124.60
10-04 15:34Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?BUY0.41$861.00
09-25 13:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETBUY0.236142$118.07
09-25 13:47Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETBUY0.0673106$33.66
09-25 02:09Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETSELL0.9260972194$462.96
09-24 14:52Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETBUY0.19$95.00