0x21F701A6d8febFd948F899114f2B9D9a8ef7e19F-1760280914378
0x21f701a6d8febfd948f899114f2b9d9a8ef7e19f
- Realised P&L
- $7.7k
- Volume
- $1.27M
- Markets traded
- 193
- Open portfolio
- $33.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded193
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.1kat 0.351Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?
- +$5.6kat 0.440Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?
- +$4.8kat 0.354Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
- +$2.8kat 0.649Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
- +$2.5kat 0.010Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 02:24 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | SELL | 0.55 | $534.74 |
| 10-26 06:18 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.3k |
| 10-25 23:17 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.09 | $180.00 |
| 10-23 12:50 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.01622524 | $16.23 |
| 10-19 16:13 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.6 | $45.30 |
| 10-19 01:36 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | BUY | 0.39 | $157.48 |
| 10-18 15:06 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.6k |
| 10-13 12:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.6k |
| 10-08 16:22 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October? | BUY | 0.33 | $13.52 |
| 10-08 06:47 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October? | BUY | 0.32 | $124.60 |
| 10-04 15:34 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October? | BUY | 0.41 | $861.00 |
| 09-25 13:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.236142 | $118.07 |
| 09-25 13:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.0673106 | $33.66 |
| 09-25 02:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | SELL | 0.9260972194 | $462.96 |
| 09-24 14:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.19 | $95.00 |