0x9afc9741f1d75a07f757e951194ef303a5b3314b
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $175.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,472
- Open portfolio
- $88.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,472
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$240.31at 0.114Will Atlante FC win on 2026-08-01?
- +$199.26at 0.028Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
- +$170.77at 0.046Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?
- +$91.63at 0.084Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
- +$82.94at 0.050Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of August 3 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 06:56 | Will US Lecce win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.78 |
| 09-14 06:56 | Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.75 |
| 09-14 06:56 | Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.76 |
| 09-14 06:55 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.73 |
| 09-13 06:56 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.018 | $1.72 |
| 09-13 06:55 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.87 |
| 09-13 00:55 | Will voter turnout be between 47% and 50% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.70 |
| 09-13 00:55 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.96 |
| 09-13 00:55 | Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.046 | $0.46 |
| 09-13 00:55 | Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.024 | $3.00 |
| 09-13 00:55 | Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.47 |
| 09-13 00:55 | Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw? | BUY | 0.07 | $3.17 |
| 09-13 00:54 | Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.014 | $3.05 |
| 09-13 00:54 | Will NEC win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.14 |
| 09-13 00:54 | Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw? | BUY | 0.07 | $3.17 |