Ox4B7e1D3cA9825F0aC176bE29d830A54F12cD78a6
0x2a32bc74120713d7e4a29c65d53cc9b327810188
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $591.7k
- Markets traded
- 545
- Open portfolio
- $7.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded545
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.310Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$894.01at 0.612Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?
- +$878.50at 0.662US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
- +$845.00at 0.660US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
- +$820.01at 0.590US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 11:19 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | BUY | 0.55 | $318.57 |
| 07-22 11:13 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.856 | $268.63 |
| 07-20 12:34 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? | BUY | 0.0998627451 | $50.93 |
| 07-20 08:09 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.548 | $124.16 |
| 07-20 07:24 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? | BUY | 0.86 | $460.15 |
| 07-14 15:21 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? | BUY | 0.05 | $50.00 |
| 07-13 07:16 | Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.944 | $94.32 |
| 07-13 07:15 | Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9488475822 | $658.14 |
| 07-11 02:37 | Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7136375487 | $1.0k |
| 07-10 12:50 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15? | SELL | 0.02729188 | $6.82 |
| 07-10 00:51 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15? | BUY | 0.03979384 | $9.95 |
| 07-10 00:46 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15? | SELL | 0.96062297 | $960.62 |
| 07-09 23:53 | Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6050352467 | $60.08 |
| 07-08 14:39 | Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $107.67 |
| 07-08 14:38 | Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9676636246 | $1.3k |