PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

etar

0x0c158a0ffd934322d3a247613dd3fac9e987944d

Realised P&L
$-39.46
Volume
$6.84M
Markets traded
179
Open portfolio
$978.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded179
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1540.085$391.77$320.51
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.002$108.83$453.38
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0090.003$91.62$226.53
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0050.002$84.00$218.95
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.001$39.52$476.09
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.002$39.23$184.87
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.3390.026$38.39$461.61
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.002$31.50$46.53
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.001$28.00$140.00
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0050.002$15.50$36.17
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.002$15.00$45.00
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0050.001$14.74$140.59
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0020.001$12.00$36.00
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0020.001$10.00$30.00
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0050.001$8.00$72.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-04 10:47Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.001$110.00
08-17 12:26US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.1446627037$150.00
08-07 00:50Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.006$101.11
08-04 15:30Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?BUY0.5452368099$150.00
08-04 15:28Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?BUY0.67$167.49
08-03 01:40Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?BUY0.8762417507$100.00
08-03 01:40Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?BUY0.8739999976$100.00
08-02 21:43US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?BUY0.0880351144$150.00
08-01 13:39Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.003$2.49
08-01 13:39Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.004$80.00
08-01 13:38Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.005$190.23
08-01 13:38Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.005$28.43
08-01 13:37Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.003$12.45
07-22 21:16Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.006$0.01
07-19 23:10Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?SELL0.0314647537$41.95