etar
0x0c158a0ffd934322d3a247613dd3fac9e987944d
- Realised P&L
- $-39.46
- Volume
- $6.84M
- Markets traded
- 179
- Open portfolio
- $978.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded179
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.4kat 0.409Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.7kat 0.236Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
- +$940.16at 0.045US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
- +$703.90at 0.507Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
- +$667.57at 0.151Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 10:47 | Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.001 | $110.00 |
| 08-17 12:26 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.1446627037 | $150.00 |
| 08-07 00:50 | Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.006 | $101.11 |
| 08-04 15:30 | Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | BUY | 0.5452368099 | $150.00 |
| 08-04 15:28 | Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | BUY | 0.67 | $167.49 |
| 08-03 01:40 | Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.8762417507 | $100.00 |
| 08-03 01:40 | Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.8739999976 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 21:43 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.0880351144 | $150.00 |
| 08-01 13:39 | Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.003 | $2.49 |
| 08-01 13:39 | Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.004 | $80.00 |
| 08-01 13:38 | Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.005 | $190.23 |
| 08-01 13:38 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.005 | $28.43 |
| 08-01 13:37 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.003 | $12.45 |
| 07-22 21:16 | Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.01 |
| 07-19 23:10 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | SELL | 0.0314647537 | $41.95 |