Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.018. down 0.041 over the period, from 0.059. Range 0.018 to 0.059. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.018	8,067	8,067
0.019	15,796	23,863
0.020	14,526	38,389
0.021	115	38,504
0.025	3,056	41,560
0.026	22,619	64,179
0.027	1,652	65,831
0.028	412	66,242
0.032	3,180	69,422
0.035	1,635	71,057
0.036	5	71,062
0.038	954	72,016

Spread0.001Mid0.018

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.017	46	46
0.015	2,015	2,060
0.014	1,126	3,186
0.013	1,392	4,579
0.012	1,163	5,741
0.011	3,131	8,872
0.010	24,389	33,261
0.009	7,322	40,583
0.008	7,600	48,183
0.007	8,297	56,480
0.006	2,500	58,980
0.005	7,433	66,413

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.983	46	46
0.985	2,015	2,060
0.986	1,126	3,186
0.987	1,392	4,579
0.988	1,163	5,741
0.989	3,131	8,872
0.990	24,389	33,261
0.991	7,322	40,583
0.992	7,600	48,183
0.993	8,297	56,480
0.994	2,500	58,980
0.995	7,433	66,413

Spread0.001Mid0.982

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.982	8,067	8,067
0.981	15,796	23,863
0.980	14,526	38,389
0.979	115	38,504
0.975	3,056	41,560
0.974	22,619	64,179
0.973	1,652	65,831
0.972	412	66,242
0.968	3,180	69,422
0.965	1,635	71,057
0.964	5	71,062
0.962	954	72,016

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Odysseus.	Yes	92,389.49
fur-fox	Yes	85,707.09
0xA77	Yes	52,252.67
hippoka	Yes	46,876.88
-ojoker-	Yes	46,318.84
shrewsenhower	Yes	38,033.19
Aluluba	Yes	29,350.97
Aquarius2026	Yes	27,923.43
DenisBr	Yes	26,735.26
0x0c21661b7b1F474914d3E77DF65700B341aA2A53-1726558601666	Yes	26,264.62
Zzzz87	Yes	24,317
ImJustKen	Yes	24,018.47
foodenjoyer	Yes	21,173.62
HerrieDavis	Yes	20,019.99
ArmageddonRewardsBilly	Yes	19,712.12
fafafafafafafafsadasdq	Yes	18,599.21
Ferwhere	Yes	17,917.58
jozeslemsek	Yes	17,230.21
Hyperlong	Yes	12,332.74
Doormat986	Yes	12,216

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
03:09:55	BUY	Yes	0.018	9,067	$163.21
02:28:12	SELL	Yes	0.017	95	$1.62
02:26:21	BUY	Yes	0.0179999999	56	$1.00
01:55:34	SELL	Yes	0.017	6	$0.11
01:25:51	BUY	Yes	0.019	100	$1.90
01:25:48	BUY	Yes	0.019	154	$2.93
01:23:16	SELL	Yes	0.0162299908	22	$0.35
01:23:10	BUY	Yes	0.02	100	$2.00
01:23:04	BUY	Yes	0.02	100	$2.00
01:22:58	BUY	Yes	0.01979998	100	$1.98
01:22:57	SELL	Yes	0.022	355	$7.80
01:22:55	BUY	No	0.983	58	$57.14
01:22:55	BUY	No	0.984	44	$43.56
01:12:03	SELL	Yes	0.022	11	$0.24
00:43:45	BUY	Yes	0.0249147497	15	$0.37
00:43:45	BUY	Yes	0.022	92	$2.03
22:25:15	SELL	Yes	0.021	68	$1.43
22:21:01	SELL	Yes	0.021	20	$0.42
21:52:21	BUY	Yes	0.023	46	$1.05
21:04:48	SELL	Yes	0.018	14	$0.25
20:42:45	SELL	No	0.977	11	$10.36
20:16:39	SELL	Yes	0.017	101	$1.71
19:50:18	SELL	Yes	0.017	68	$1.16
19:46:58	BUY	Yes	0.019249862	779	$15.00
19:46:13	BUY	Yes	0.015	5	$0.07