PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Resolves by
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.012. down 0.001 over the period, from 0.013. Range 0.007 to 0.018. 150 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0163,9243,924
0.0173534,276
0.0204,6028,878
0.026308,908
0.0271899,097
0.0301,69410,791
0.031510,796
0.03220010,996
0.03559811,594
0.0364511,639
0.03759912,238
0.0391,48613,724

Spread0.008Mid0.012

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.008391391
0.007505896
0.0062,4863,382
0.0056,1749,556
0.0041,48011,036
0.0033,02014,056
0.00254,78768,843
0.001134,477203,321

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.992391391
0.993505896
0.9942,4863,382
0.9956,1749,556
0.9961,48011,036
0.9973,02014,056
0.99854,78768,843
0.999134,477203,321

Spread0.008Mid0.988

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9843,9243,924
0.9833534,276
0.9804,6028,878
0.974308,908
0.9731899,097
0.9701,69410,791
0.969510,796
0.96820010,996
0.96559811,594
0.9644511,639
0.96359912,238
0.9611,48613,724

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Odysseus.Yes92,389.49
fur-foxYes75,838.67
hippokaYes46,876.88
-ojoker-Yes46,318.84
shrewsenhowerYes38,033.19
zhenhengYes33,975.59
0xA77Yes29,629.69
HyperlongYes28,801.27
DenisBrYes26,735.26
fafafafafafafafsadasdqYes26,666.09
0x0c21661b7b1F474914d3E77DF65700B341aA2A53-1726558601666Yes26,264.62
ImJustKenYes24,018.47
FerwhereYes21,849.78
LuckyBaskarYes21,745.8
snoozerYes17,039.17
0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396Yes16,687.22
0x2EaE1023ECFE412625c9DED996501145adD4a25f-1758897531821Yes12,775.43
Doormat986Yes12,216
EatprayloveYes11,230.42
farmyboiYes10,938.71

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
18:09:48SELLYes0.016145$2.31
09:21:28SELLYes0.0150$0.50
05:58:16BUYYes0.0161499999176$2.85
03:09:52BUYYes0.0165048543303$5.00
23:53:43BUYYes0.0105766942610$6.45
17:50:03SELLYes0.0096$0.06
12:37:49BUYYes0.008144$1.16
11:08:49SELLYes0.0096748019204$1.98
02:01:30BUYYes0.009120$1.08
01:51:18BUYYes0.008125$1.00
01:25:45BUYYes0.008127$1.02
00:09:46BUYYes0.00911$0.10
21:35:01SELLYes0.007225$1.57
17:12:54SELLYes0.007103$0.72
17:12:51SELLYes0.00931$0.28
16:28:09SELLNo0.98021148321,493$1463.76
15:45:19BUYYes0.0101847788225$2.29
15:45:13BUYYes0.0095$0.04
15:45:10BUYYes0.0095$0.04
15:45:07BUYYes0.0095$0.04
15:45:04BUYYes0.0095$0.04
15:45:01BUYYes0.0095$0.04
15:45:00BUYYes0.0095$0.04
15:44:57BUYYes0.0095$0.04
10:06:55SELLYes0.00746$0.32