fur-fox
0x03d52fddfaff7f348cd3c30585f2c303a37d97af
- Realised P&L
- $-7.1k
- Volume
- $162.9k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $4.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration87.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.118 | 0.056 | $4.8k | −$5.4k |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? · Yes | 0.122 | 0.038 | $43.69 | −$95.07 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? · Yes | 0.148 | 0.003 | $18.59 | −$1.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.530Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
- +$358.74at 0.701Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$28.45at 0.240Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
- +$-264.98at 0.143Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
- +$-280.00at 0.140Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 21:16 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1257902781 | $11.85 |
| 07-04 00:42 | Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.0154383611 | $27.79 |
| 07-03 23:51 | Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7 | $140.00 |
| 04-29 00:14 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1259330857 | $96.28 |
| 04-29 00:14 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $180.00 |
| 04-29 00:13 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $180.00 |
| 04-29 00:13 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $270.00 |
| 04-25 21:37 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $88.76 |
| 04-25 21:27 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $56.22 |
| 03-25 03:32 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $18.00 |
| 03-25 03:32 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.167754 | $16.78 |
| 03-25 03:32 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $75.60 |
| 03-25 03:32 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.149732619 | $62.89 |
| 03-25 03:31 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $112.50 |
| 03-25 03:31 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $87.50 |