PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

fur-fox

0x03d52fddfaff7f348cd3c30585f2c303a37d97af

Realised P&L
$-7.1k
Volume
$162.9k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$4.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration87.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.1180.056$4.8k$5.4k
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.1220.038$43.69$95.07
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.1480.003$18.59$1.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-14 21:16Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?BUY0.1257902781$11.85
07-04 00:42Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceSELL0.0154383611$27.79
07-03 23:51Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?BUY0.7$140.00
04-29 00:14Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?BUY0.1259330857$96.28
04-29 00:14Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.18$180.00
04-29 00:13Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?BUY0.12$180.00
04-29 00:13Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.18$270.00
04-25 21:37Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?BUY0.11$88.76
04-25 21:27Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.17$56.22
03-25 03:32Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.18$18.00
03-25 03:32Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?BUY0.167754$16.78
03-25 03:32Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.18$75.60
03-25 03:32Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?BUY0.149732619$62.89
03-25 03:31Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.18$112.50
03-25 03:31Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?BUY0.14$87.50