PolyBot

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Traders

farmyboi

0x1823757d22022f81a8fa1536d63101fe458884d8

Realised P&L
$613.7k
Volume
$2.13M
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$131.26

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar28.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.1880.012$131.26−$1.9k
Will Trump remove Jerome Powell in first 100 days? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$451.96
Will a Democrat win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election? · No0.1990.000$0.00−$2.8k
Will a Republican win New York Presidential Election? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00−$5.4k
Will a Republican win New Jersey Presidential Election? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00−$2.7k
Will a Democrat win California Presidential Election? · No0.0250.000$0.00−$260.78
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00−$425.96
Will a Republican win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2060.000$0.00−$1.7k
Will a Republican win California Presidential Election? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$619.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-16 13:34Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.2000864181$1000.00
06-16 13:33Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.1778703285$1000.00
03-01 05:06Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL0.315890219$125.34
03-01 05:05Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL0.3202206992$999.19
03-01 05:05Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL0.3252893319$991.29
03-01 03:50Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL0.3414362104$2.2k
03-01 03:50Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL0.3507296788$1.3k
03-01 03:08Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.394$2.2k
03-01 03:07Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.39$3.4k
03-01 03:06Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.388$856.22
03-01 03:06Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.387$216.52
03-01 03:05Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.386$656.20
03-01 03:05Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.384$6.70
02-28 13:51Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL0.4259981651$2.4k
01-23 22:05Will Trump remove Jerome Powell in first 100 days?BUY0.07$416.96