PolyBot

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Traders

0x2EaE1023ECFE412625c9DED996501145adD4a25f-1758897531821

0x2eae1023ecfe412625c9ded996501145add4a25f

Realised P&L
$-5.6k
Volume
$736.4k
Markets traded
2,348
Open portfolio
$2.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,348
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.7020.840$597.83+$97.83
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.6990.855$366.74+$66.74
Kash Patel out by December 31? · No0.4550.775$273.99+$113.00
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · No0.4170.875$197.41+$103.28
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.6500.915$131.18+$37.99
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No0.7860.865$110.07+$9.99
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · No0.1500.215$107.50+$32.50
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.9400.953$95.25+$1.25
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · No0.0970.165$74.23+$30.74
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · No0.1500.070$58.02$66.47
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.5900.765$45.90+$10.50
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026? · No0.6500.955$28.65+$9.15
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0670.925$26.02+$24.14
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.0660.046$23.25$9.75
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? · Yes0.4030.125$16.91$37.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 07:38Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETBUY0.7599999696$5.00
09-15 07:38Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETBUY0.6666666667$5.00
09-14 18:26Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.047922075$19.17
09-14 18:25Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.045$0.53
09-14 18:25Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.066$33.00
09-14 18:24Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.008$3.22
09-14 18:21Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.09$27.00
09-14 18:20Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.044$1.45
09-14 18:15Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.934$71.36
09-10 10:44Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?BUY0.05$10.00
09-10 03:06Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?BUY0.15$30.00
09-10 03:02Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?BUY0.1$30.00
09-10 03:01Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?BUY0.15$45.00
09-10 03:01Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?BUY0.05$15.00
09-08 16:42Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.79$3.95