PolyBot

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Traders

LuckyBaskar

0xf9331b7193509df4bbc8550d913b8e64c19d4069

Realised P&L
$-9.1k
Volume
$444.5k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$289.48

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration58.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.0180.012$260.95−$126.72
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.0600.065$13.35+$1.03
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? · Yes0.6940.135$13.24−$54.84
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.0200.015$1.56−$0.52
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0300.001$0.38−$22.57
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? · Yes0.2690.000$0.00−$2.6k
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? · No0.0890.000$0.00−$114.44
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$657.83
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$1.3k
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7700.000$0.00−$769.49
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? · No0.1040.000$0.00−$5.9k
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$560.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 01:49Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?BUY0.012$26.66
10-27 01:48Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?BUY0.012$38.66
10-27 01:37Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?SELL0.11$190.85
10-27 01:27Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?SELL0.12$1.20
10-27 01:24Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?SELL0.14$27.25
10-26 02:07Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?BUY0.3$98.10
10-26 02:07Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?BUY0.3$217.50
10-26 02:06Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?BUY0.2889010989$26.29
10-26 02:06Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?BUY0.29$82.65
10-26 02:06Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?BUY0.28$22.40
10-26 02:05Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?BUY0.27$13.50
10-26 02:05Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?BUY0.27$13.50
10-26 02:05Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?BUY0.29$76.27
10-26 02:04Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?BUY0.27$13.50
10-26 02:03Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?BUY0.29$872.90