0xf9331b7193509df4BBc8550d913b8e64C19D4069-1776341491898
0xf9331b7193509df4bbc8550d913b8e64c19d4069
- Realised P&L
- $59.89
- Volume
- $170.1k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.025 | $1.3k | −$2.2k |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? · No | 0.200 | 0.115 | $287.50 | −$212.50 |
| Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.001 | $0.38 | −$22.57 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$769.49 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.8kat 0.130Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
- +$3.4kat 0.171Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
- +$-300.00at 0.010Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
- +$-1.5kat 0.150Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$-1.9kat 0.040Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 04:12 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.0014280974 | $14.28 |
| 06-30 03:08 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 02:46 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.77 | $769.49 |
| 05-18 12:52 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $78.10 |
| 05-04 02:49 | Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? | BUY | 0.17 | $85.00 |
| 04-17 16:39 | Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? | BUY | 0.0979999874 | $6.73 |