Odysseus.
0x60ab628a82cdf7b9274ff1587f1b30211b763206
- Realised P&L
- $-29.9k
- Volume
- $678.1k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.222 | 0.012 | $1.1k | −$19.4k |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.002 | $144.22 | −$10.4k |
| Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 7-13? · Yes | 0.144 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$318.33 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.8kat 0.481Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase August 25-31?
- +$185.30at 0.651Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin August 4-10?
- +$-127.75at 0.545US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
- +$-889.14at 0.100Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$-19.9kat 0.183Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:02 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.0322270127 | $743.95 |
| 09-16 18:02 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.0217337285 | $584.97 |
| 08-30 14:13 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase August 25-31? | SELL | 0.91 | $91.00 |
| 08-29 23:42 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase August 25-31? | BUY | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 08-29 16:03 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase August 25-31? | BUY | 0.4064935065 | $60.10 |
| 08-29 10:30 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase August 25-31? | BUY | 0.3366617504 | $134.67 |
| 08-27 16:08 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase August 25-31? | BUY | 0.5038461538 | $65.50 |
| 08-07 13:34 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.82 |
| 08-07 13:25 | Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin August 4-10? | BUY | 0.4918647976 | $81.05 |
| 07-15 12:31 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.0586017735 | $1.2k |
| 07-14 12:33 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0997013699 | $142.86 |
| 07-12 20:07 | Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 7-13? | BUY | 0.1285283514 | $15.69 |
| 07-12 17:38 | Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 7-13? | BUY | 0.1356666856 | $95.76 |
| 07-12 15:17 | Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 7-13? | BUY | 0.21 | $5.37 |
| 07-12 14:32 | Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 7-13? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.33 |