PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Odysseus.

0x60ab628a82cdf7b9274ff1587f1b30211b763206

Realised P&L
$-29.9k
Volume
$678.1k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration96.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.2220.012$1.1k−$19.4k
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.1100.002$144.22−$10.4k
Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 7-13? · Yes0.1440.000$0.00−$318.33
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00−$3.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 18:02Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?SELL0.0322270127$743.95
09-16 18:02Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?SELL0.0217337285$584.97
08-30 14:13Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase August 25-31?SELL0.91$91.00
08-29 23:42Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase August 25-31?BUY0.4$20.00
08-29 16:03Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase August 25-31?BUY0.4064935065$60.10
08-29 10:30Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase August 25-31?BUY0.3366617504$134.67
08-27 16:08Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase August 25-31?BUY0.5038461538$65.50
08-07 13:34Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.04$1.82
08-07 13:25Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin August 4-10?BUY0.4918647976$81.05
07-15 12:31Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.0586017735$1.2k
07-14 12:33Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.0997013699$142.86
07-12 20:07Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 7-13?BUY0.1285283514$15.69
07-12 17:38Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 7-13?BUY0.1356666856$95.76
07-12 15:17Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 7-13?BUY0.21$5.37
07-12 14:32Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 7-13?BUY0.19$1.33