PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xA77

0xa77413303bd7e98a945bce9196499cbd2975d9af

Realised P&L
$-13.2k
Volume
$110.2k
Markets traded
4
Open portfolio
$848.85

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-12.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded4
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.1740.018$839.45$7.1k
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.2430.003$9.41$906.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 01:28Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?SELL0.0196934673$5.17
09-17 01:24Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.0036643639$26.62
09-14 00:58Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?SELL0.0028185863$8.94
05-29 00:58Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?BUY0.0573721207$15.42
03-25 03:36Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.26$377.00
03-25 03:36Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?SELL0.2700358035$391.44
03-25 03:35Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.26$148.20
03-25 03:35Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?SELL0.3$171.00
02-12 23:39Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?BUY0.19$208.18
02-12 23:37Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?BUY0.18$52.86
02-12 23:34Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.19$2.2k
02-12 15:28Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.18$114.66