0xA77
0xa77413303bd7e98a945bce9196499cbd2975d9af
- Realised P&L
- $-13.2k
- Volume
- $110.2k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $848.85
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.174 | 0.018 | $839.45 | −$7.1k |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.243 | 0.003 | $9.41 | −$906.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$153.28at 0.060Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?
- +$-747.62at 0.238Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 01:28 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.0196934673 | $5.17 |
| 09-17 01:24 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.0036643639 | $26.62 |
| 09-14 00:58 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.0028185863 | $8.94 |
| 05-29 00:58 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0573721207 | $15.42 |
| 03-25 03:36 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $377.00 |
| 03-25 03:36 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.2700358035 | $391.44 |
| 03-25 03:35 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $148.20 |
| 03-25 03:35 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $171.00 |
| 02-12 23:39 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $208.18 |
| 02-12 23:37 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $52.86 |
| 02-12 23:34 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $2.2k |
| 02-12 15:28 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $114.66 |