PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in United States this month?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.012. down 0.183 over the period, from 0.195. Range 0.012 to 0.520. 150 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0234040
0.0241,0721,112
0.026331,145
0.030201,165
0.140331,198
0.470251,223
0.750301,253
0.91051,258
0.953421,300
0.9642,7774,077
0.9656574,734
0.9671,0005,734

Spread0.022Mid0.012

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0011,1591,159

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9991,1591,159

Spread0.022Mid0.988

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9774040
0.9761,0721,112
0.974331,145
0.970201,165
0.860331,198
0.530251,223
0.250301,253
0.09051,258
0.047421,300
0.0362,7774,077
0.0356574,734
0.0331,0005,734

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Numitus1994Yes1,072
xtxpleasecallmeYes212.63
flexer78Yes33.33
youtube-traderYes20
0x96BFC07480D572c3AedB2B1f5CB08A98f297403E-1782223511037Yes11
GuyFromTinderYes2.52
johnpudricionNo594
johnsalchichonNo470.33
ppyiagoNo157.19
0x3ff7…2fa2No40
bubububblebuttNo36
AlwaysHereNo22.99
tradetosurvive1No20
0xf51b…ca1bNo5
gfdgfvfvssddNo4.82
cmnd7wNo1.54

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
07:33:25BUYNo0.99350$346.50
07:33:24BUYNo0.9950$49.50
06:59:39BUYNo0.99336$332.64
06:25:39BUYNo0.9950$49.50
06:25:39BUYNo0.99118$116.82
05:52:31BUYNo0.9984$83.16
05:19:25BUYNo0.9942$41.58
05:00:25BUYNo0.973882901334$33.43
04:12:25BUYNo0.9820$19.60
04:12:25BUYNo0.9736$34.92
10:25:36BUYNo0.975$4.85
23:51:43BUYNo0.9733$32.33
19:53:56BUYYes0.169$1.44
11:02:48BUYYes0.1920$3.84
03:21:09BUYYes0.1711$1.87
03:20:08BUYYes0.1720$3.40
18:51:02BUYNo0.6620$13.20
23:28:50BUYNo0.81999999317$14.11
23:28:50BUYNo0.8317$14.28
23:28:50BUYNo0.818$14.00
23:08:21BUYNo0.817$13.20
23:07:08BUYYes0.2417$3.96
21:40:30BUYYes0.2910$2.90
15:12:39BUYNo0.8412$10.07
10:47:32BUYNo0.8211$9.02