PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.07. down 0.03 over the period, from 0.10. Range 0.07 to 0.33. 30 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.08185185
0.091,1651,350
0.101751,525
0.11751,600
0.12201,620
0.142671,887
0.151,0762,963
0.17202,983
0.182053,188
0.20553,243
0.272253,468
0.351883,656

Spread0.01Mid0.08

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.07307307
0.061,9352,242
0.051,5403,782
0.047,79311,575
0.0335,48847,063
0.0266,484113,547
0.01103,397216,945

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.93307307
0.941,9352,242
0.951,5403,782
0.967,79311,575
0.9735,48847,063
0.9866,484113,547
0.99103,397216,945

Spread0.01Mid0.93

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.92185185
0.911,1651,350
0.901751,525
0.89751,600
0.88201,620
0.862671,887
0.851,0762,963
0.83202,983
0.822053,188
0.80553,243
0.732253,468
0.651883,656

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
tradetosurvive1Yes409.69
infinitychaserYes341.99
rocky42016Yes300
CryptoGermYes150
Numitus1994Yes121
yyoossYes100
Dr.PNLYes55
ConsensusOfCredibleReportingYes45.58
AJSVYes40.37
FB87dB8Yes38.24
PPMTYes30
0xF31a21285C47CEF6ddedd3404f805106D9221838-1783205488183Yes22
Poly-HashYes21.9
gthdtrlij549y89Yes20
HosoTraderYes20
gavinfundaYes20
0xd45b…7ae6Yes20
a5533Yes20
IurkevichYes19.99
lissartterYes18.49

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
19:04:36SELLNo0.9160$54.60
19:04:33BUYYes0.08342$27.36
17:16:58BUYNo0.9299999997108$100.00
16:52:52SELLYes0.0720$1.40
16:18:03BUYNo0.93100$93.00
10:27:00BUYYes0.09100$9.00
10:00:19SELLYes0.0750$3.50
10:00:16BUYNo0.92500$460.00
09:58:12SELLYes0.0820$1.60
09:20:16SELLYes0.0820$1.60
07:58:31BUYYes0.0950$4.50
07:27:24SELLYes0.0820$1.60
04:54:36SELLYes0.0740$2.80
04:54:19SELLYes0.0778995181380$29.58
04:40:15BUYNo0.9140$36.40
04:40:07BUYNo0.904954446946$41.72
04:39:45SELLYes0.149$4.91
04:39:24SELLYes0.129$2.86
04:39:16BUYNo0.867276232477$413.93
04:32:28SELLYes0.1418$2.55
04:21:46SELLNo0.8520$17.20
04:20:46SELLYes0.1420$2.80
04:20:40SELLYes0.1420$2.80
04:20:40SELLYes0.1420$2.80
04:20:37BUYNo0.85999999920$17.40