0xb18922ad7d1b34c72df3dc3b399b17d6907d0faa
0xb18922ad7d1b34c72df3dc3b399b17d6907d0faa
- Realised P&L
- $-53.35
- Volume
- $10.7k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $4.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.695 | $1.66 | −$0.28 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-06 House election by 25%-30%? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.325 | $1.08 | +$0.02 |
| Will Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.185 | $0.78 | −$0.28 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.045 | $0.70 | −$0.39 |
| US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.056 | $0.65 | −$0.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.65at 0.463North Texas Mean Green vs. Rice Owls
- +$7.02at 0.515Open Sud de France: Arthur Gea vs Tomas Machac
- +$4.98at 0.290LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
- +$3.06at 0.590FC Internazionale Milano vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5
- +$1.06at 0.510Morehead State Eagles vs. Southeast Missouri State Redhawks: O/U 145.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 18:40 | Will Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.06 |
| 09-17 09:08 | Games Total: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.27 | $0.01 |
| 09-17 04:44 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.809999929 | $1.94 |
| 09-17 04:36 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999837 | $1.09 |
| 09-17 04:34 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999981 | $1.09 |
| 09-17 04:18 | US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999974 | $1.05 |
| 09-17 04:08 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-06 House election by 25%-30%? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.06 |
| 09-17 04:06 | Games Total: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.25 | $2.29 |
| 09-17 03:54 | Games Total: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.25 | $3.03 |
| 09-17 03:37 | Games Total: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.25 | $1.05 |
| 05-11 19:25 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.2899998211 | $1.07 |
| 05-11 18:56 | Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.942 | $1.06 |
| 04-17 14:14 | Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8399999084 | $1.09 |
| 04-17 14:06 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9649999781 | $1.10 |
| 04-17 14:03 | Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.05 |