letsgetstarted123
0xa800af41fd45364ecc26e7783c991e07f1c0182d
- Realised P&L
- $163.74
- Volume
- $6.4k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $361.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$823.05at 0.055Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
- +$14.17at 0.420Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
- +$13.47at 0.875Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?
- +$12.27at 0.748Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?
- +$3.65at 0.892Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 20:03 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999958 | $8.00 |
| 09-16 20:00 | US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 19:59 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | SELL | 0.0093413983 | $2.10 |
| 09-16 19:59 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.72 | $11.15 |
| 09-08 20:26 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3003617839 | $1.58 |
| 09-07 20:22 | Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $10.00 |
| 09-07 20:17 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.038 | $10.00 |
| 09-07 08:02 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.25 | $17.91 |
| 09-07 08:02 | Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | SELL | 0.07 | $4.31 |
| 09-05 13:48 | Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.7299999985 | $45.00 |
| 09-05 13:36 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | BUY | 0.0444745627 | $10.00 |
| 09-05 13:26 | Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET? | BUY | 0.7415177781 | $100.00 |
| 09-05 06:11 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | BUY | 0.6071542664 | $100.00 |
| 09-04 11:57 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | BUY | 0.6358668654 | $200.00 |
| 09-04 09:18 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.649999999 | $100.00 |