0x3725D1efaF407ead980f11fAa2de1CE8A1C4f655-1767712514187
0x3725d1efaf407ead980f11faa2de1ce8a1c4f655
- Realised P&L
- $-474.84
- Volume
- $23.1k
- Markets traded
- 134
- Open portfolio
- $33.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded134
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$196.55at 0.200Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
- +$116.86at 0.605Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
- +$30.84at 0.618Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
- +$28.46at 0.260Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?
- +$27.81at 0.357Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 04:44 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.4379999852 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 04:43 | KOSPI all-time high before 2028? | SELL | 0.72 | $8.18 |
| 09-24 00:59 | Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during their summit? | SELL | 0.31 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 06:10 | US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30? | BUY | 0.0876293245 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 06:09 | Will Trump insult Xi by end of summit? | BUY | 0.0359999997 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 06:08 | Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit? | BUY | 0.0669999961 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 06:08 | Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during their summit? | BUY | 0.3099999857 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 06:07 | US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 06:04 | Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31? | BUY | 0.0529999987 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 03:05 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0569999995 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 03:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 11:18 | China coup attempt before 2027? | BUY | 0.070808601 | $8.00 |
| 09-21 11:18 | China coup attempt before 2027? | BUY | 0.0649999995 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 11:14 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.025 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 11:13 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |