PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x3725D1efaF407ead980f11fAa2de1CE8A1C4f655-1767712514187

0x3725d1efaf407ead980f11faa2de1ce8a1c4f655

Realised P&L
$-474.84
Volume
$23.1k
Markets traded
134
Open portfolio
$33.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded134
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3950.381$9.63−$0.37
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.4380.403$9.19−$0.81
China coup attempt before 2027? · Yes0.0690.015$4.50−$15.50
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2490.045$3.61−$16.39
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.4000.085$2.13−$7.88
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.2620.045$1.89−$9.11
Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31? · Yes0.0530.058$1.09+$0.09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1900.029$0.75−$4.25
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? · Yes0.0900.053$0.59−$0.41
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · Yes0.4900.021$0.42−$9.58
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET · Down0.0700.000$0.00−$65.00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 8? · Yes0.4220.000$0.00−$5.00
US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30? · Yes0.0880.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Trump insult Xi by end of summit? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 04:44Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.4379999852$10.00
10-29 04:43KOSPI all-time high before 2028?SELL0.72$8.18
09-24 00:59Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during their summit?SELL0.31$5.00
09-22 06:10US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?BUY0.0876293245$2.00
09-22 06:09Will Trump insult Xi by end of summit?BUY0.0359999997$1.00
09-22 06:08Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?BUY0.0669999961$1.00
09-22 06:08Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during their summit?BUY0.3099999857$5.00
09-22 06:07US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?BUY0.0899999928$1.00
09-22 06:04Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?BUY0.0529999987$1.00
09-22 03:05Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0569999995$5.00
09-22 03:04Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?BUY0.699999993$10.00
09-21 11:18China coup attempt before 2027?BUY0.070808601$8.00
09-21 11:18China coup attempt before 2027?BUY0.0649999995$2.00
09-21 11:14Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.025$2.00
09-21 11:13Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.01$1.00